Q chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +5.3% | +5.2% | 3.8% | 100% |
| Day 2 | -3.1% | -4.0% | 3.3% | 25% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | -0.2% | 1.8% | 50% |
| 5-day | -1.1% | -1.5% | 3.9% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 1.07 | 1.19 | +11.0% | +5.8% | +6.3% | -2.4% | -16.9% |
| 2026-05-12 beat | 0.92 | 1.08 | +17.4% | +5.1% | +9.9% | -13.7% | -11.4% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | 0.64 | 0.82 | +28.6% | +16.8% | +4.1% | -7.1% | -10.4% |
| 2025-11-18 beat | 0.66 | 0.95 | +44.0% | +0.2% | +0.8% | -0.5% | +0.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.