QSR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.7% | -1.6% | 3.6% | 37% |
| Day 2 | -0.4% | -0.7% | 1.7% | 33% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | +0.0% | 1.4% | 43% |
| 5-day | -0.8% | -1.1% | 4.5% | 47% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 beat | 1.04 | 1.07 | +3.2% | -1.5% | -2.1% | +5.0% | +9.9% |
| 2026-05-06 beat | 0.83 | 0.86 | +4.0% | -0.7% | -5.5% | -1.0% | -5.9% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | 0.95 | 0.96 | +1.3% | -3.4% | -6.2% | +3.7% | +12.4% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 1.00 | 1.03 | +2.9% | +2.7% | +1.5% | +1.7% | +6.9% |
| 2025-08-07 miss | 0.97 | 0.94 | -2.9% | -0.7% | -5.1% | +0.2% | -4.7% |
| 2025-05-08 miss | 0.78 | 0.75 | -4.1% | +0.2% | -0.5% | +3.2% | +3.3% |
| 2025-02-12 beat | 0.79 | 0.81 | +2.3% | +1.4% | -1.6% | -4.0% | +0.3% |
| 2024-11-05 miss | 0.95 | 0.93 | -2.4% | -2.3% | -2.6% | -1.2% | +2.3% |
| 2024-08-08 beat | 0.86 | 0.86 | +0.3% | +1.5% | +2.0% | -0.9% | -5.7% |
| 2024-04-30 beat | 0.72 | 0.73 | +1.3% | +1.6% | +2.7% | -2.0% | -12.0% |
| 2024-02-13 beat | 0.74 | 0.75 | +2.0% | -3.0% | -4.5% | +1.3% | +9.1% |
| 2023-11-03 beat | 0.85 | 0.90 | +5.7% | -3.8% | -1.9% | +1.4% | +7.7% |
| 2023-08-08 beat | 0.77 | 0.85 | +10.4% | +0.3% | -0.3% | -4.5% | -9.2% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 0.64 | 0.75 | +17.7% | +1.6% | +2.2% | +1.7% | +4.4% |
| 2023-02-14 miss | 0.74 | 0.72 | -2.6% | -5.9% | -2.7% | +1.0% | -7.1% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 0.80 | 0.96 | +19.8% | -0.7% | +1.5% | +4.8% | +12.8% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 0.73 | 0.82 | +11.9% | +4.3% | +7.4% | +2.1% | +0.2% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 0.62 | 0.64 | +2.9% | +2.5% | -3.2% | -7.5% | -4.2% |
| 2022-02-15 beat | 0.69 | 0.74 | +6.6% | +2.0% | +3.6% | -5.8% | -2.2% |
| 2021-10-25 beat | 0.73 | 0.76 | +3.5% | +0.9% | -5.0% | -2.1% | -0.6% |
| 2021-07-30 beat | 0.61 | 0.77 | +25.6% | +3.3% | +5.1% | -6.7% | -6.2% |
| 2021-04-30 beat | 0.50 | 0.55 | +10.1% | +0.3% | +1.2% | +1.3% | +2.7% |
| 2021-02-11 miss | 0.65 | 0.53 | -18.9% | -2.0% | -1.6% | +3.1% | +8.2% |
| 2020-10-27 beat | 0.63 | 0.68 | +7.3% | -0.7% | -3.6% | +1.1% | +11.0% |
| 2020-08-06 beat | 0.30 | 0.33 | +10.4% | -1.8% | -4.4% | -1.5% | +1.6% |
| 2020-05-01 miss | 0.50 | 0.48 | -3.2% | -4.1% | -2.0% | +6.9% | +18.1% |
| 2020-02-10 beat | 0.73 | 0.75 | +2.4% | +2.2% | +2.7% | +0.8% | -27.1% |
| 2019-10-28 miss | 0.72 | 0.72 | -0.3% | -2.2% | -3.8% | -1.5% | -1.1% |
| 2019-08-02 beat | 0.67 | 0.71 | +5.8% | +1.4% | +6.1% | -3.8% | -0.8% |
| 2019-04-29 miss | 0.58 | 0.55 | -5.2% | -3.1% | -1.4% | +2.5% | +0.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.