RBA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.4% | +1.1% | 7.9% | 53% |
| Day 2 | -0.7% | -0.1% | 2.9% | 50% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | +0.0% | 1.7% | 43% |
| 5-day | +0.4% | -0.7% | 9.8% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 miss | 1.13 | 1.13 | -0.1% | -2.2% | -13.9% | -9.6% | -12.9% |
| 2026-05-04 beat | 0.97 | 1.01 | +4.3% | +3.0% | +1.4% | -2.9% | -0.9% |
| 2026-02-17 beat | 0.99 | 1.11 | +11.8% | +8.7% | +3.3% | -7.9% | -10.8% |
| 2025-11-06 beat | 0.79 | 0.93 | +17.3% | +0.8% | +4.4% | +1.2% | -1.4% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 0.96 | 1.07 | +11.9% | +2.2% | +2.1% | +5.8% | +4.1% |
| 2025-05-07 beat | 0.82 | 0.89 | +9.1% | +0.6% | +2.5% | +2.0% | +1.3% |
| 2025-02-18 beat | 0.79 | 0.95 | +20.1% | +10.0% | +8.5% | -4.2% | -5.6% |
| 2024-11-08 beat | 0.64 | 0.71 | +10.4% | -3.1% | +2.8% | +1.0% | +4.7% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 0.87 | 0.94 | +8.1% | +0.5% | +9.3% | +0.4% | +6.8% |
| 2024-05-09 beat | 0.75 | 0.90 | +20.3% | +10.6% | +4.9% | -2.0% | +4.0% |
| 2024-02-23 beat | 0.70 | 0.82 | +17.6% | +3.8% | +12.2% | +0.0% | -1.3% |
| 2023-11-09 beat | 0.49 | 0.72 | +46.0% | -2.6% | -10.3% | +2.5% | +5.9% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 0.75 | 0.85 | +13.5% | -0.3% | -5.9% | -0.9% | +10.1% |
| 2023-05-10 beat | 0.46 | 0.57 | +24.3% | -1.7% | -6.0% | -0.5% | +3.0% |
| 2023-02-21 beat | 0.59 | 0.68 | +15.2% | +1.4% | -0.5% | -1.6% | -11.3% |
| 2022-11-07 beat | 0.38 | 0.53 | +37.9% | -11.8% | -17.7% | +9.2% | +8.1% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 0.62 | 0.74 | +20.1% | -0.8% | -6.9% | +5.4% | +2.3% |
| 2022-05-09 beat | 0.28 | 0.46 | +66.0% | +4.3% | +12.0% | +8.0% | +6.1% |
| 2022-02-17 miss | 0.58 | 0.50 | -13.2% | -4.2% | -10.7% | +2.1% | +15.4% |
| 2021-11-04 miss | 0.32 | 0.29 | -9.9% | +1.0% | +8.2% | -4.7% | -4.9% |
| 2021-08-05 miss | 0.61 | 0.55 | -10.2% | -4.4% | -2.2% | +5.6% | +6.2% |
| 2021-05-10 beat | 0.24 | 0.25 | +5.1% | -1.5% | -3.1% | -6.4% | -11.8% |
| 2021-02-18 miss | 0.56 | 0.49 | -13.2% | -1.5% | -6.9% | +2.2% | +6.8% |
| 2020-11-05 beat | 0.30 | 0.44 | +48.3% | +2.2% | +9.9% | -14.9% | -4.2% |
| 2020-08-06 beat | 0.37 | 0.54 | +48.0% | +0.5% | +13.9% | +11.6% | +0.8% |
| 2020-05-07 beat | 0.19 | 0.21 | +10.5% | -0.3% | +0.9% | -8.8% | -3.5% |
| 2020-02-27 beat | 0.41 | 0.44 | +8.1% | -1.2% | -1.9% | +2.0% | -16.1% |
| 2019-11-07 beat | 0.22 | 0.23 | +2.6% | -0.9% | -0.9% | +2.4% | +4.9% |
| 2019-08-08 beat | 0.43 | 0.49 | +14.7% | +2.4% | +5.1% | +4.1% | +3.0% |
| 2019-05-09 miss | 0.22 | 0.17 | -22.1% | -1.3% | -3.1% | -0.3% | +3.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.