REG chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.2% | +0.1% | 1.7% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | +0.0% | 1.1% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.5% | 1.2% | 60% |
| 5-day | -0.4% | -0.2% | 2.5% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 0.59 | 0.61 | +3.6% | -1.3% | -0.9% | -4.2% | -6.0% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 0.62 | 0.68 | +9.4% | -1.6% | -1.9% | +0.0% | -2.2% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 0.58 | 1.09 | +89.1% | +0.9% | -0.3% | +1.3% | +3.9% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 0.55 | 0.58 | +4.6% | -1.4% | -3.1% | +0.1% | +2.6% |
| 2025-07-29 beat | 0.54 | 0.56 | +4.3% | +2.0% | +0.8% | +1.2% | -0.1% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | 0.56 | 0.58 | +4.0% | +0.5% | +0.5% | -0.2% | +0.0% |
| 2025-02-06 miss | 0.47 | 0.46 | -3.1% | +0.1% | +1.5% | -2.3% | -0.4% |
| 2024-10-28 beat | 0.47 | 0.54 | +15.8% | +1.7% | +0.9% | +1.0% | +4.8% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.46 | 0.54 | +16.4% | +2.1% | +2.5% | +0.2% | +3.1% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.49 | 0.57 | +17.1% | +1.1% | -1.7% | +1.0% | +4.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.