RF chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.1% | -0.1% | 3.8% | 47% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | +0.3% | 1.6% | 53% |
| Day 3 | +0.6% | +0.1% | 2.7% | 50% |
| 5-day | +1.5% | +1.6% | 5.7% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 beat | 0.63 | 0.68 | +7.9% | -1.5% | -2.3% | -2.5% | +0.2% |
| 2026-04-17 beat | 0.59 | 0.62 | +4.4% | +1.9% | +0.8% | -1.3% | -4.1% |
| 2026-01-16 miss | 0.61 | 0.57 | -6.8% | -3.1% | -2.6% | -0.1% | +8.2% |
| 2025-10-17 beat | 0.60 | 0.63 | +5.8% | +1.3% | +1.0% | +4.2% | +3.1% |
| 2025-07-18 beat | 0.56 | 0.60 | +7.5% | +4.0% | +6.1% | +1.6% | -1.2% |
| 2025-04-17 beat | 0.51 | 0.54 | +6.2% | +5.8% | +0.7% | +5.0% | +16.7% |
| 2025-01-17 beat | 0.55 | 0.59 | +6.3% | +2.4% | -1.3% | +2.4% | +1.3% |
| 2024-10-18 beat | 0.53 | 0.57 | +6.8% | +1.4% | -0.7% | -1.3% | +10.5% |
| 2024-07-19 beat | 0.49 | 0.54 | +10.6% | -1.1% | +0.0% | +3.0% | -1.5% |
| 2024-04-19 miss | 0.46 | 0.44 | -3.5% | -0.3% | -0.5% | +3.8% | +5.2% |
| 2024-01-19 beat | 0.48 | 0.52 | +7.9% | +0.0% | +3.7% | +2.8% | -1.1% |
| 2023-10-20 miss | 0.58 | 0.50 | -14.1% | -12.2% | -12.4% | -3.0% | +12.9% |
| 2023-07-21 beat | 0.59 | 0.59 | +0.3% | +1.3% | -3.1% | +2.7% | -1.7% |
| 2023-04-21 miss | 0.64 | 0.63 | -1.8% | -2.7% | -2.8% | -0.5% | -4.6% |
| 2023-01-20 beat | 0.65 | 0.67 | +3.1% | +4.9% | +4.6% | +3.1% | +2.2% |
| 2022-10-21 miss | 0.59 | 0.56 | -4.9% | +0.6% | -1.1% | +11.9% | +15.3% |
| 2022-07-22 beat | 0.53 | 0.59 | +10.2% | +2.7% | +1.4% | +2.6% | +7.1% |
| 2022-04-22 beat | 0.47 | 0.55 | +16.3% | -0.2% | -0.8% | -3.0% | -3.0% |
| 2022-01-20 miss | 0.50 | 0.44 | -12.4% | -5.6% | -5.2% | +2.2% | +5.7% |
| 2021-10-22 beat | 0.53 | 0.66 | +24.2% | +0.9% | +3.5% | -1.7% | -0.2% |
| 2021-07-23 beat | 0.53 | 0.76 | +44.9% | +1.2% | +0.7% | +0.8% | +6.5% |
| 2021-04-23 beat | 0.48 | 0.64 | +33.9% | -5.9% | +1.7% | +5.7% | +10.9% |
| 2021-01-22 beat | 0.42 | 0.62 | +49.3% | +0.2% | -0.3% | -4.1% | +19.8% |
| 2020-10-20 beat | 0.33 | 0.49 | +49.9% | +3.3% | +4.9% | -0.3% | +19.1% |
| 2020-07-17 miss | 0.07 | -0.23 | -434.4% | -1.4% | -4.4% | +5.8% | +13.1% |
| 2020-04-17 miss | 0.31 | 0.15 | -50.9% | +1.8% | +7.6% | +2.8% | +5.4% |
| 2020-01-17 beat | 0.39 | 0.40 | +3.0% | +0.3% | -1.6% | -5.7% | +0.2% |
| 2019-10-22 beat | 0.39 | 0.39 | +0.4% | -1.7% | +0.9% | +1.5% | +1.2% |
| 2019-07-19 miss | 0.39 | 0.39 | -0.8% | +1.1% | +2.3% | +6.0% | -5.8% |
| 2019-04-18 beat | 0.37 | 0.37 | +0.7% | +0.6% | -3.2% | +2.0% | -5.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.