RIVN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.5% | -4.5% | 13.1% | 30% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +0.6% | 5.4% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -1.1% | -1.2% | 3.1% | 40% |
| 5-day | +2.5% | +0.6% | 15.8% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | -0.78 | -0.63 | +18.9% | +0.8% | -9.6% | +5.1% | +5.5% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | -0.60 | -0.55 | +8.7% | -5.0% | -8.4% | -5.3% | +15.1% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | -0.79 | -0.66 | +16.6% | +26.9% | +26.6% | -15.6% | -10.8% |
| 2025-11-04 miss | -0.86 | -0.96 | -11.1% | +6.7% | +23.4% | +13.6% | +16.4% |
| 2025-08-05 miss | -0.64 | -0.80 | -25.4% | -3.9% | -4.2% | +5.5% | +22.1% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | -0.92 | -0.48 | +48.0% | -0.4% | -5.8% | +16.5% | +10.1% |
| 2025-02-20 beat | -0.63 | -0.47 | +25.8% | -6.6% | -4.7% | -8.7% | -6.0% |
| 2024-11-07 miss | -0.90 | -0.99 | -10.8% | +0.7% | +5.4% | -5.0% | +32.8% |
| 2024-08-06 miss | -1.41 | -1.46 | -3.8% | -8.9% | -6.9% | -3.9% | -4.0% |
| 2024-05-06 miss | -1.16 | -1.24 | -7.1% | +7.8% | -0.8% | +9.2% | +14.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-15); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.