RIVN chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.1% | -4.5% | 13.4% | 30% |
| Day 2 | -1.2% | -1.6% | 6.2% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.0% | -0.2% | 4.4% | 50% |
| 5-day | +0.6% | -1.3% | 17.9% | 45% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | -0.78 | -0.63 | +18.9% | +0.8% | -9.6% | +5.1% | +5.5% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | -0.60 | -0.55 | +8.7% | -5.0% | -8.4% | -5.3% | +15.1% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | -0.79 | -0.66 | +16.6% | +26.9% | +26.6% | -15.6% | -10.8% |
| 2025-11-04 miss | -0.86 | -0.96 | -11.1% | +6.7% | +23.4% | +13.6% | +16.4% |
| 2025-08-05 miss | -0.64 | -0.80 | -25.4% | -3.9% | -4.2% | +5.5% | +22.1% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | -0.92 | -0.48 | +48.0% | -0.4% | -5.8% | +16.5% | +10.1% |
| 2025-02-20 beat | -0.63 | -0.47 | +25.8% | -6.6% | -4.7% | -8.7% | -6.0% |
| 2024-11-07 miss | -0.90 | -0.99 | -10.8% | +0.7% | +5.4% | -5.0% | +32.8% |
| 2024-08-06 miss | -1.41 | -1.46 | -3.8% | -8.9% | -6.9% | -3.9% | -4.0% |
| 2024-05-06 miss | -1.16 | -1.24 | -7.1% | +7.8% | -0.8% | +9.2% | +14.5% |
| 2024-02-21 miss | -1.32 | -1.36 | -3.4% | -22.2% | -25.6% | -1.1% | -5.7% |
| 2023-11-07 beat | -1.32 | -1.19 | +10.1% | +6.7% | -2.4% | +1.4% | +12.0% |
| 2023-08-08 beat | -1.39 | -1.08 | +22.1% | +0.1% | -9.9% | -5.9% | +3.4% |
| 2023-05-09 beat | -1.59 | -1.25 | +21.5% | +8.8% | +1.8% | -5.0% | -1.7% |
| 2023-02-28 beat | -1.95 | -1.73 | +11.4% | -8.5% | -18.3% | -4.0% | -8.6% |
| 2022-11-09 beat | -1.83 | -1.57 | +14.2% | +17.2% | +17.4% | -2.7% | -22.3% |
| 2022-08-11 beat | -1.63 | -1.62 | +0.9% | +2.0% | -0.1% | -11.4% | -0.4% |
| 2022-05-11 beat | -1.47 | -1.43 | +2.5% | +7.7% | +18.0% | +21.9% | +10.3% |
| 2022-03-10 miss | -2.36 | -4.83 | -105.0% | -6.9% | -7.6% | +19.8% | +3.8% |
| 2021-12-16 miss | -6.84 | -7.68 | -12.4% | -8.2% | -10.3% | +9.6% | -29.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.