RJF chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.2% | -0.1% | 3.7% | 47% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | -0.1% | 2.1% | 47% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +0.5% | 1.5% | 60% |
| 5-day | +0.8% | +0.4% | 5.9% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 beat | 2.91 | 3.14 | +7.8% | +0.8% | -1.1% | +5.3% | +5.5% |
| 2026-04-22 beat | 2.71 | 2.72 | +0.5% | -1.5% | -0.7% | +3.2% | -1.3% |
| 2026-01-28 beat | 2.83 | 2.86 | +0.9% | -0.2% | -0.4% | -0.1% | -7.9% |
| 2025-10-22 beat | 2.83 | 3.11 | +10.0% | +3.9% | -0.6% | -4.3% | -7.3% |
| 2025-07-23 miss | 2.36 | 2.18 | -7.5% | +1.6% | +3.7% | +0.2% | -0.9% |
| 2025-04-23 miss | 2.44 | 2.42 | -0.7% | -1.2% | +1.4% | +0.3% | +5.9% |
| 2025-01-29 beat | 2.69 | 2.93 | +8.8% | -1.1% | -0.8% | -1.3% | -11.9% |
| 2024-10-23 beat | 2.41 | 2.95 | +22.2% | +5.4% | +7.3% | +0.6% | +12.1% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 2.33 | 2.39 | +2.5% | +0.7% | +5.2% | -4.9% | -1.0% |
| 2024-04-24 miss | 2.31 | 2.31 | -0.0% | -3.6% | -4.4% | +1.7% | +3.2% |
| 2024-01-24 beat | 2.26 | 2.40 | +6.3% | +3.1% | +1.2% | -3.0% | +4.2% |
| 2023-10-25 miss | 2.28 | 2.13 | -6.5% | +3.9% | +5.0% | +3.1% | +9.2% |
| 2023-07-26 miss | 2.16 | 1.85 | -14.2% | -1.7% | -2.0% | +1.1% | -5.7% |
| 2023-04-26 miss | 2.24 | 2.03 | -9.3% | -1.6% | -3.0% | -6.6% | +4.2% |
| 2023-01-25 beat | 2.28 | 2.29 | +0.4% | +1.8% | -4.0% | -4.0% | -5.1% |
| 2022-10-26 beat | 2.00 | 2.08 | +4.0% | +2.1% | +6.6% | +3.6% | +1.7% |
| 2022-07-27 miss | 1.66 | 1.61 | -3.0% | +0.4% | -0.5% | +5.2% | +12.0% |
| 2022-04-27 miss | 1.64 | 1.55 | -5.4% | +2.0% | +3.6% | -4.6% | -4.7% |
| 2022-01-26 beat | 1.76 | 2.12 | +20.4% | +2.4% | +2.5% | +7.1% | +8.7% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 1.71 | 2.06 | +20.7% | -0.6% | -0.3% | +0.9% | +1.0% |
| 2021-07-28 beat | 1.57 | 1.83 | +16.0% | +0.1% | +0.6% | -0.4% | +9.2% |
| 2021-04-27 beat | 1.45 | 1.67 | +15.0% | +0.2% | +0.4% | +2.9% | +0.5% |
| 2021-01-27 beat | 1.13 | 1.49 | +32.5% | +1.2% | +4.4% | +8.3% | +21.5% |
| 2020-10-28 beat | 0.89 | 1.19 | +33.3% | -0.1% | +0.5% | +5.4% | +20.4% |
| 2020-07-29 beat | 0.65 | 0.82 | +27.1% | -2.1% | -3.4% | +4.2% | +11.1% |
| 2020-04-29 miss | 0.97 | 0.80 | -17.7% | -4.7% | -7.8% | -2.3% | +8.0% |
| 2020-01-22 miss | 1.29 | 1.26 | -2.0% | -5.1% | -6.2% | +1.8% | +2.8% |
| 2019-10-23 beat | 1.27 | 1.33 | +4.9% | +5.0% | +0.0% | -0.5% | +5.3% |
| 2019-07-24 miss | 1.22 | 1.20 | -1.3% | -0.3% | -4.1% | -5.7% | -8.2% |
| 2019-04-24 beat | 1.09 | 1.21 | +10.8% | +0.5% | +2.0% | -0.3% | -3.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.