RS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.2% | +1.5% | 5.2% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.1% | 2.0% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.4% | +0.6% | 1.8% | 55% |
| 5-day | +1.7% | +2.2% | 6.2% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 beat | 5.47 | 6.27 | +14.7% | +3.2% | +2.4% | +1.4% | -1.9% |
| 2026-04-22 beat | 4.66 | 5.16 | +10.7% | +2.6% | -1.8% | +5.2% | +6.5% |
| 2026-02-18 miss | 2.82 | 2.40 | -14.8% | -1.3% | -2.7% | -3.4% | -11.2% |
| 2025-10-22 miss | 3.73 | 3.64 | -2.4% | -2.1% | -0.2% | +2.2% | +0.5% |
| 2025-07-23 miss | 4.71 | 4.43 | -5.8% | -1.6% | -12.3% | -3.7% | -2.3% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | 3.69 | 3.77 | +2.1% | -2.3% | +0.7% | +1.8% | +2.4% |
| 2025-02-19 miss | 2.73 | 2.22 | -18.5% | +1.2% | +3.1% | -2.5% | -8.3% |
| 2024-10-24 miss | 3.66 | 3.64 | -0.7% | +2.4% | +4.0% | -2.5% | +8.7% |
| 2024-07-25 miss | 4.72 | 4.65 | -1.4% | +2.8% | +4.9% | -4.0% | -8.4% |
| 2024-04-25 miss | 5.51 | 5.30 | -3.8% | -5.8% | -6.8% | -0.5% | +4.0% |
| 2024-02-15 beat | 3.91 | 4.73 | +20.9% | +8.6% | +12.8% | -2.5% | -3.5% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 4.94 | 5.00 | +1.2% | -2.7% | +0.0% | +7.2% | +9.8% |
| 2023-07-27 miss | 6.54 | 6.49 | -0.8% | -1.2% | -3.4% | +2.7% | -1.7% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 5.68 | 6.37 | +12.2% | +0.6% | +6.7% | -6.6% | -6.5% |
| 2023-02-16 beat | 4.47 | 5.87 | +31.4% | +3.2% | +4.1% | +0.8% | +1.5% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 6.19 | 6.48 | +4.8% | -0.2% | +3.0% | -0.2% | +4.0% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | 9.02 | 9.15 | +1.5% | -2.9% | -0.2% | -0.4% | +4.4% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 7.18 | 8.42 | +17.3% | +2.4% | +5.2% | -0.8% | +2.9% |
| 2022-02-17 beat | 5.22 | 6.83 | +30.9% | +2.7% | +3.3% | +5.6% | +12.1% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 5.93 | 6.15 | +3.6% | -0.6% | +0.2% | +11.4% | +8.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.