RS chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.9% | +0.2% | 5.3% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.0% | -0.4% | 2.1% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.8% | +0.9% | 2.0% | 60% |
| 5-day | -1.5% | +1.0% | 6.2% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 beat | 5.47 | 6.27 | +14.7% | +3.2% | +2.4% | +1.4% | -1.9% |
| 2026-04-22 beat | 4.66 | 5.16 | +10.7% | +2.6% | -1.8% | +5.2% | +6.5% |
| 2026-02-18 miss | 2.82 | 2.40 | -14.8% | -1.3% | -2.7% | -3.4% | -11.2% |
| 2025-10-22 miss | 3.73 | 3.64 | -2.4% | -2.1% | -0.2% | +2.2% | +0.5% |
| 2025-07-23 miss | 4.71 | 4.43 | -5.8% | -1.6% | -12.3% | -3.7% | -2.3% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | 3.69 | 3.77 | +2.1% | -2.3% | +0.7% | +1.8% | +2.4% |
| 2025-02-19 miss | 2.73 | 2.22 | -18.5% | +1.2% | +3.1% | -2.5% | -8.3% |
| 2024-10-24 miss | 3.66 | 3.64 | -0.7% | +2.4% | +4.0% | -2.5% | +8.7% |
| 2024-07-25 miss | 4.72 | 4.65 | -1.4% | +2.8% | +4.9% | -4.0% | -8.4% |
| 2024-04-25 miss | 5.51 | 5.30 | -3.8% | -5.8% | -6.8% | -0.5% | +4.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.