SAVA chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.5% | +0.5% | 5.8% | 56% |
| Day 2 | -0.8% | -1.0% | 9.1% | 44% |
| Day 3 | -1.5% | +0.1% | 3.4% | 56% |
| 5-day | -2.5% | -1.6% | 9.4% | 33% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-29 | -0.24 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025-11-12 beat | -0.27 | -0.22 | +18.5% | +0.6% | +4.8% | -15.6% | -10.1% |
| 2025-03-03 beat | -0.68 | -0.57 | +16.2% | +2.1% | +3.3% | +7.7% | -44.4% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | -0.88 | -0.58 | +34.1% | -0.6% | -4.6% | +3.2% | -88.4% |
| 2024-08-08 miss | -0.40 | -1.28 | -219.2% | -4.8% | -13.8% | +9.1% | +3.5% |
| 2024-05-10 beat | -0.46 | -0.43 | +6.5% | +1.3% | +1.9% | +7.2% | -7.5% |
| 2024-02-28 miss | -0.40 | -0.50 | -25.0% | +0.4% | -0.3% | -13.5% | -11.5% |
| 2023-11-07 beat | -0.90 | -0.61 | +32.2% | +1.2% | +4.3% | -0.4% | -6.8% |
| 2023-08-03 miss | -0.58 | -0.63 | -8.6% | -1.5% | -0.7% | -12.6% | +1.0% |
| 2023-05-01 miss | -0.56 | -0.58 | -3.6% | -0.9% | +0.5% | -0.9% | -2.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
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