SCI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.0% | +0.7% | 6.2% | 53% |
| Day 2 | -0.9% | -0.6% | 2.0% | 33% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.6% | 1.5% | 57% |
| 5-day | +0.6% | -0.7% | 7.3% | 43% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 0.89 | 0.90 | +1.4% | +5.0% | -0.5% | -0.4% | -2.3% |
| 2026-04-29 miss | 1.00 | 0.97 | -2.9% | +0.3% | -6.2% | -3.1% | -9.7% |
| 2026-02-11 miss | 1.14 | 1.14 | -0.4% | -2.8% | -6.7% | +0.6% | +0.9% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 0.83 | 0.87 | +4.9% | -2.8% | +4.6% | -4.2% | -6.1% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 0.85 | 0.88 | +3.6% | +1.3% | +0.9% | +4.0% | +3.9% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 0.91 | 0.96 | +5.7% | -2.9% | -4.1% | -1.5% | +1.6% |
| 2025-02-12 beat | 1.05 | 1.06 | +1.1% | +7.9% | +7.2% | -3.2% | -2.7% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 0.77 | 0.79 | +2.0% | +6.2% | +7.1% | +5.3% | +7.9% |
| 2024-07-31 miss | 0.87 | 0.79 | -8.8% | -8.6% | -6.5% | -0.4% | +4.8% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 0.85 | 0.89 | +4.6% | +2.1% | -2.5% | +1.8% | +2.5% |
| 2024-02-12 beat | 0.91 | 0.93 | +2.0% | -0.5% | +2.4% | +2.9% | +4.3% |
| 2023-11-01 beat | 0.69 | 0.78 | +13.0% | +6.5% | +13.6% | -5.8% | +5.7% |
| 2023-08-01 beat | 0.81 | 0.83 | +2.0% | -3.4% | -5.4% | -0.9% | -0.9% |
| 2023-05-01 beat | 0.91 | 0.93 | +2.2% | -5.0% | -4.9% | -3.0% | -6.2% |
| 2023-02-14 beat | 0.80 | 0.92 | +14.7% | -0.2% | -3.5% | -0.6% | -6.9% |
| 2022-11-01 beat | 0.51 | 0.68 | +33.3% | +8.5% | +10.4% | +3.8% | +5.2% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | 0.79 | 0.84 | +5.9% | -2.0% | -9.8% | +0.0% | -6.8% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 0.98 | 1.34 | +37.4% | +2.5% | +11.4% | -7.6% | -1.0% |
| 2022-02-14 beat | 0.97 | 1.17 | +20.9% | +1.7% | -3.6% | -3.3% | +6.5% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 0.60 | 1.16 | +93.3% | +2.1% | +7.6% | +0.2% | -2.3% |
| 2021-07-28 beat | 0.67 | 0.92 | +37.8% | +2.7% | +6.4% | +3.2% | +1.1% |
| 2021-05-03 beat | 0.99 | 1.32 | +33.7% | -0.5% | +6.4% | -4.3% | -7.4% |
| 2021-02-15 beat | 0.91 | 1.13 | +24.2% | -0.9% | -3.2% | -1.6% | -0.6% |
| 2020-10-28 beat | 0.42 | 0.79 | +86.6% | +5.3% | +6.1% | +7.8% | +5.2% |
| 2020-07-29 beat | 0.24 | 0.58 | +142.3% | +2.0% | +5.4% | +7.2% | +6.6% |
| 2020-04-29 miss | 0.46 | 0.43 | -6.5% | -1.5% | -6.4% | +2.8% | +7.0% |
| 2020-02-17 miss | 0.60 | 0.60 | -0.4% | -0.5% | +0.5% | -1.2% | -31.6% |
| 2019-10-30 miss | 0.38 | 0.37 | -2.9% | -2.2% | +0.0% | -2.9% | -2.5% |
| 2019-07-29 | 0.47 | 0.47 | — | -3.2% | +1.5% | -5.3% | -3.0% |
| 2019-04-24 beat | 0.41 | 0.47 | +13.9% | +0.9% | +3.2% | -3.2% | +1.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.