SE chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +3.8% | +5.7% | 15.0% | 64% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -0.2% | 4.2% | 44% |
| Day 3 | +0.5% | -0.2% | 4.7% | 50% |
| 5-day | +3.0% | +5.0% | 19.2% | 64% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-11 miss | 0.86 | 0.84 | -2.9% | +11.4% | +14.6% | -11.6% | -18.1% |
| 2026-05-12 beat | 0.77 | 0.81 | +5.1% | +11.6% | +13.1% | -9.1% | -10.8% |
| 2026-03-03 miss | 0.81 | 0.77 | -5.5% | -23.6% | -16.5% | +1.5% | -6.4% |
| 2025-11-11 miss | 0.95 | 0.76 | -19.8% | +2.6% | -8.2% | +3.5% | -11.0% |
| 2025-08-12 miss | 0.88 | 0.84 | -4.2% | +13.9% | +19.1% | +2.9% | +12.9% |
| 2025-05-13 miss | 0.91 | 0.83 | -8.7% | +6.7% | +8.2% | +5.4% | +0.3% |
| 2025-03-04 miss | 0.69 | 0.60 | -13.7% | +5.7% | +7.1% | -3.5% | +1.7% |
| 2024-11-12 beat | 0.55 | 0.75 | +35.4% | +12.4% | +10.5% | +5.6% | +9.0% |
| 2024-08-13 miss | 0.44 | 0.31 | -28.9% | +5.3% | +11.8% | +8.3% | +5.7% |
| 2024-05-14 miss | 0.28 | 0.28 | -2.1% | +4.4% | +2.8% | +10.6% | +12.5% |
| 2024-03-04 beat | -0.07 | 0.04 | +155.3% | +9.7% | +5.6% | +8.4% | -1.6% |
| 2023-11-14 miss | 0.10 | 0.04 | -53.2% | -8.4% | -22.1% | +6.7% | +5.0% |
| 2023-08-15 beat | 0.71 | 0.79 | +11.5% | -20.7% | -28.7% | -10.0% | -1.7% |
| 2023-05-16 miss | 0.72 | 0.45 | -36.8% | -9.7% | -17.7% | -11.2% | -13.2% |
| 2023-03-07 beat | -0.55 | 1.01 | +282.1% | +7.5% | +21.8% | -4.3% | +7.0% |
| 2022-11-15 beat | -0.95 | -0.66 | +30.6% | +21.7% | +36.0% | -14.1% | -2.0% |
| 2022-08-16 beat | -1.06 | -1.03 | +3.3% | -3.3% | -13.9% | -18.1% | -21.5% |
| 2022-05-17 beat | -1.22 | -0.80 | +34.3% | +12.8% | +14.0% | -11.1% | -13.9% |
| 2022-03-01 beat | -0.91 | -0.88 | +3.3% | -9.3% | -13.1% | -27.6% | -2.4% |
| 2021-11-16 miss | -0.61 | -0.84 | -37.4% | +2.1% | -3.8% | -12.8% | -35.0% |
| 2021-08-17 miss | -0.49 | -0.61 | -24.2% | +1.9% | +6.1% | +1.2% | +11.2% |
| 2021-05-18 miss | -0.57 | -0.62 | -8.0% | -5.5% | +4.2% | +9.4% | +24.2% |
| 2021-03-02 miss | -0.75 | -0.87 | -15.9% | +8.6% | +0.6% | -8.6% | -10.7% |
| 2020-11-17 miss | -0.55 | -0.69 | -25.0% | +2.6% | -4.3% | +3.7% | +16.1% |
| 2020-08-18 miss | -0.43 | -0.68 | -56.4% | +10.2% | +8.7% | +5.6% | +2.1% |
| 2020-05-18 miss | -0.29 | -0.52 | -78.9% | +6.5% | +12.2% | +19.7% | +53.7% |
| 2020-03-03 miss | -0.40 | -0.53 | -31.9% | +3.2% | +1.9% | +3.6% | -11.8% |
| 2019-11-12 beat | -0.45 | -0.34 | +23.9% | +16.4% | +18.6% | +0.7% | +1.5% |
| 2019-08-20 miss | -0.43 | -0.52 | -20.2% | -11.4% | -8.6% | -3.4% | -3.2% |
| 2019-05-21 miss | -0.64 | -0.64 | -0.6% | +21.6% | +24.1% | -9.9% | +9.4% |
| 2019-02-26 miss | -0.73 | -0.94 | -29.4% | +14.9% | +34.9% | +4.7% | +7.6% |
| 2018-11-20 miss | -0.63 | -0.70 | -10.3% | -2.9% | +5.7% | +0.8% | -16.1% |
| 2018-08-21 miss | -0.55 | -0.59 | -8.3% | +4.0% | -4.8% | +9.9% | +7.6% |
| 2018-05-15 miss | -0.47 | -0.61 | -30.5% | +8.6% | +12.6% | +19.0% | +29.5% |
| 2018-02-27 miss | -0.48 | -0.86 | -78.8% | -0.8% | -10.6% | +5.7% | +2.8% |
| 2017-11-21 miss | -0.65 | -0.71 | -10.6% | +0.0% | -6.3% | -16.2% | -4.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.