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SEE chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.7% | +2.0% | 6.2% | 59% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | -0.3% | 2.6% | 41% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.0% | 1.9% | 48% |
| 5-day | +1.4% | +2.2% | 7.8% | 57% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
Each report's EPS vs. the same ticker's report ~1 year earlier. Skips any comparison where the prior-year EPS was zero or negative -- a swing from a loss to a profit is real, but "growth %" on a negative base isn't a meaningful number.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-05 | 0.81 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2026-03-02 beat | 0.73 | 0.77 | +5.4% | — | — | — | — |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 0.70 | 0.87 | +24.7% | +6.5% | +5.3% | +4.4% | +18.2% |
| 2025-08-05 beat | 0.72 | 0.89 | +23.8% | +3.6% | +3.4% | -0.3% | +7.8% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 0.67 | 0.81 | +20.9% | +5.5% | +5.1% | +10.3% | +9.9% |
| 2025-02-25 beat | 0.67 | 0.75 | +11.2% | +9.4% | +5.8% | -8.7% | -13.0% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 0.67 | 0.79 | +18.5% | +4.0% | -4.1% | +0.2% | +4.7% |
| 2024-08-08 beat | 0.64 | 0.83 | +30.3% | +7.9% | +3.4% | -8.3% | -6.3% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.53 | 0.78 | +47.7% | +9.0% | +8.8% | +7.3% | +13.3% |
| 2024-02-27 beat | 0.64 | 0.88 | +38.3% | +1.2% | -2.9% | +0.8% | +5.4% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 0.63 | 0.77 | +22.6% | +11.4% | +8.7% | -1.6% | +1.3% |
| 2023-08-08 beat | 0.68 | 0.80 | +17.6% | -5.9% | -9.5% | -8.4% | -15.7% |
| 2023-05-02 miss | 0.77 | 0.74 | -4.3% | -2.6% | -10.8% | -0.1% | -11.2% |
| 2023-02-09 beat | 0.98 | 0.99 | +1.2% | -1.8% | -6.6% | -0.3% | -10.2% |
| 2022-11-01 beat | 0.90 | 0.98 | +8.7% | +0.5% | -6.7% | +3.7% | +18.9% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | 0.96 | 1.01 | +4.7% | -1.7% | -8.7% | +0.4% | -4.2% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 0.93 | 1.12 | +20.5% | +0.9% | +1.9% | -3.6% | -2.9% |
| 2022-02-17 miss | 1.13 | 1.12 | -0.8% | -1.3% | +5.0% | +1.6% | +1.6% |
| 2021-11-02 beat | 0.82 | 0.86 | +4.6% | +1.5% | +2.8% | +6.5% | +4.1% |
| 2021-08-03 beat | 0.78 | 0.79 | +1.4% | -1.1% | +3.8% | +2.8% | +5.3% |
| 2021-05-04 beat | 0.70 | 0.78 | +11.3% | +3.2% | +9.5% | +2.7% | +5.3% |
| 2020-10-28 beat | 0.66 | 0.82 | +23.7% | -1.5% | +0.7% | +1.5% | +8.9% |
| 2020-08-06 beat | 0.55 | 0.76 | +38.3% | +4.5% | +8.8% | +3.1% | -0.2% |
| 2020-05-05 beat | 0.60 | 0.73 | +21.9% | +7.5% | +7.4% | +0.4% | +15.8% |
| 2020-02-11 beat | 0.75 | 0.78 | +3.4% | +0.0% | -3.2% | -2.4% | -31.6% |
| 2019-11-06 beat | 0.62 | 0.64 | +3.6% | -1.8% | -7.3% | -1.4% | -0.1% |
| 2019-08-02 beat | 0.64 | 0.80 | +25.2% | +2.1% | +7.7% | +1.4% | -11.3% |
| 2019-05-01 beat | 0.57 | 0.59 | +3.9% | +0.3% | -5.9% | -1.5% | -4.5% |
| 2019-02-07 beat | 0.67 | 0.75 | +11.8% | +3.7% | +9.1% | -4.9% | +1.3% |
| 2018-11-01 beat | 0.60 | 0.61 | +1.2% | +0.6% | +3.5% | +5.5% | +8.1% |
| 2018-08-02 beat | 0.58 | 0.64 | +10.2% | +0.3% | -1.6% | -3.4% | -6.6% |
| 2018-05-03 beat | 0.50 | 0.51 | +1.6% | +0.9% | +0.5% | +0.9% | +0.5% |
| 2018-02-08 beat | 0.57 | 0.58 | +1.6% | +0.0% | -3.9% | +0.6% | +4.6% |
| 2017-11-08 miss | 0.46 | 0.46 | -0.4% | +0.5% | +2.7% | +0.3% | +6.7% |
| 2017-08-08 miss | 0.36 | 0.35 | -2.1% | +1.2% | +2.6% | -0.1% | -2.8% |
| 2017-05-09 beat | 0.48 | 0.48 | +0.9% | -2.0% | -8.9% | +3.3% | +4.8% |
| 2017-02-09 beat | 0.74 | 0.76 | +2.4% | -7.9% | -6.1% | +1.6% | -4.5% |
| 2016-10-27 beat | 0.69 | 0.71 | +3.0% | +4.0% | +2.2% | +2.2% | +5.1% |
| 2016-07-28 beat | 0.64 | 0.65 | +0.8% | -0.8% | -3.7% | -1.5% | -1.0% |
| 2016-04-28 beat | 0.47 | 0.50 | +5.4% | -7.5% | -8.2% | -3.7% | -3.1% |
| 2016-02-10 beat | 0.50 | 0.76 | +52.4% | +12.6% | +7.9% | -1.1% | +7.6% |
| 2015-10-27 beat | 0.57 | 0.70 | +23.6% | +3.0% | -4.4% | -2.6% | -8.2% |
| 2015-07-30 beat | 0.53 | 0.60 | +13.2% | +0.5% | +4.7% | +3.1% | -1.7% |
| 2015-02-10 beat | 0.47 | 0.59 | +24.6% | +6.3% | +10.6% | +3.9% | +2.0% |
| 2014-10-29 beat | 0.45 | 0.52 | +14.4% | +7.6% | +2.4% | +8.9% | +14.0% |
| 2014-07-30 beat | 0.38 | 0.42 | +9.8% | +7.4% | +3.3% | +2.0% | +9.5% |
| 2014-04-30 beat | 0.24 | 0.33 | +37.0% | +12.4% | +5.3% | -2.9% | -4.0% |
| 2014-02-06 miss | 0.36 | 0.34 | -6.5% | -3.2% | -3.3% | +8.5% | +11.4% |
| 2013-10-30 beat | 0.33 | 0.39 | +17.7% | +4.9% | +6.4% | +2.5% | +5.8% |
| 2013-08-02 beat | 0.25 | 0.35 | +40.7% | +1.7% | +8.9% | -0.9% | -6.0% |
| 2013-05-01 miss | 0.18 | 0.17 | -6.7% | -0.3% | +0.4% | +2.8% | +8.2% |
| 2013-02-19 beat | 0.29 | 0.34 | +17.0% | +0.6% | +9.0% | +2.0% | +14.8% |
| 2012-11-02 miss | 0.31 | 0.31 | -0.6% | +0.1% | -0.1% | +0.1% | -1.3% |
| 2012-08-02 miss | 0.35 | 0.20 | -43.6% | -10.1% | -16.8% | +6.5% | +8.5% |
| 2012-05-03 miss | 0.22 | 0.18 | -17.2% | +0.5% | -3.4% | -1.0% | -18.4% |
| 2012-02-09 miss | 0.47 | 0.08 | -83.1% | +1.5% | +1.5% | -0.8% | -7.4% |
| 2011-10-26 miss | 0.50 | 0.48 | -3.4% | -3.3% | -0.7% | +1.5% | -6.7% |
| 2011-07-27 beat | 0.38 | 0.40 | +4.8% | -0.9% | -2.9% | -5.4% | -21.4% |
| 2011-04-27 miss | 0.39 | 0.34 | -11.9% | -1.6% | -2.6% | -1.8% | -2.5% |
| 2011-01-24 beat | 0.46 | 0.46 | +0.1% | -1.5% | +5.4% | -0.5% | +3.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
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