SF chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.4% | +1.4% | 3.7% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +1.2% | +0.8% | 1.7% | 75% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.1% | 2.1% | 50% |
| 5-day | +2.9% | +2.2% | 5.7% | 65% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 beat | 1.36 | 1.42 | +4.3% | +1.0% | +2.2% | +3.3% | +0.7% |
| 2026-04-22 beat | 1.38 | 1.45 | +5.0% | -1.1% | -6.0% | +0.0% | -6.1% |
| 2026-01-28 beat | 1.67 | 1.75 | +4.8% | +1.3% | -0.1% | +2.1% | -12.0% |
| 2025-10-22 beat | 1.23 | 1.30 | +5.7% | +0.7% | +3.8% | +0.7% | -1.2% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 1.08 | 1.14 | +5.9% | +5.6% | +3.6% | -2.0% | +2.0% |
| 2025-04-23 miss | 1.09 | 0.33 | -70.1% | -4.6% | -3.8% | +3.5% | +13.9% |
| 2025-01-29 beat | 1.32 | 1.49 | +12.8% | +1.1% | +2.0% | -3.7% | -9.6% |
| 2024-10-23 miss | 1.07 | 1.00 | -6.5% | -1.2% | +0.7% | +2.9% | +13.6% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 1.03 | 1.07 | +4.0% | +3.2% | +2.7% | +4.8% | +0.4% |
| 2024-04-24 beat | 0.96 | 0.99 | +4.0% | -0.7% | +0.5% | +2.0% | +3.3% |
| 2024-01-24 beat | 0.87 | 1.00 | +14.4% | +4.7% | +3.8% | -0.6% | +4.3% |
| 2023-10-25 miss | 0.86 | 0.40 | -53.4% | -2.5% | -5.2% | +3.1% | +12.1% |
| 2023-07-26 miss | 0.89 | 0.80 | -9.9% | -2.6% | -2.4% | -0.7% | +0.1% |
| 2023-04-26 miss | 0.97 | 0.93 | -3.6% | -1.8% | -1.9% | -1.7% | -0.6% |
| 2023-01-25 miss | 1.09 | 1.05 | -3.4% | -2.8% | +4.5% | +2.8% | +1.4% |
| 2022-10-26 miss | 0.97 | 0.86 | -11.0% | -0.5% | +2.6% | +11.2% | +15.8% |
| 2022-07-27 miss | 1.09 | 0.93 | -14.1% | -0.6% | -1.1% | +2.9% | +7.3% |
| 2022-04-27 beat | 0.98 | 0.99 | +1.0% | +0.5% | +2.4% | +3.7% | -1.8% |
| 2022-01-26 beat | 1.26 | 1.49 | +17.8% | +3.4% | +6.4% | +9.9% | +5.0% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 0.99 | 1.10 | +11.3% | -1.1% | -6.3% | +5.1% | +0.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.