SF chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.5% | +0.9% | 4.1% | 58% |
| Day 2 | +0.6% | +0.5% | 2.2% | 62% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.1% | 2.1% | 52% |
| 5-day | +2.1% | +2.2% | 5.9% | 63% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 beat | 1.36 | 1.42 | +4.3% | +1.0% | +2.2% | +3.3% | +0.7% |
| 2026-04-22 beat | 1.38 | 1.45 | +5.0% | -1.1% | -6.0% | +0.0% | -6.1% |
| 2026-01-28 beat | 1.67 | 1.75 | +4.8% | +1.3% | -0.1% | +2.1% | -12.0% |
| 2025-10-22 beat | 1.23 | 1.30 | +5.7% | +0.7% | +3.8% | +0.7% | -1.2% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 1.08 | 1.14 | +5.9% | +5.6% | +3.6% | -2.0% | +2.0% |
| 2025-04-23 miss | 1.09 | 0.33 | -70.1% | -4.6% | -3.8% | +3.5% | +13.9% |
| 2025-01-29 beat | 1.32 | 1.49 | +12.8% | +1.1% | +2.0% | -3.7% | -9.6% |
| 2024-10-23 miss | 1.07 | 1.00 | -6.5% | -1.2% | +0.7% | +2.9% | +13.6% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 1.03 | 1.07 | +4.0% | +3.2% | +2.7% | +4.8% | +0.4% |
| 2024-04-24 beat | 0.96 | 0.99 | +4.0% | -0.7% | +0.5% | +2.0% | +3.3% |
| 2024-01-24 beat | 0.87 | 1.00 | +14.4% | +4.7% | +3.8% | -0.6% | +4.3% |
| 2023-10-25 miss | 0.86 | 0.40 | -53.4% | -2.5% | -5.2% | +3.1% | +12.1% |
| 2023-07-26 miss | 0.89 | 0.80 | -9.9% | -2.6% | -2.4% | -0.7% | +0.1% |
| 2023-04-26 miss | 0.97 | 0.93 | -3.6% | -1.8% | -1.9% | -1.7% | -0.6% |
| 2023-01-25 miss | 1.09 | 1.05 | -3.4% | -2.8% | +4.5% | +2.8% | +1.4% |
| 2022-10-26 miss | 0.97 | 0.86 | -11.0% | -0.5% | +2.6% | +11.2% | +15.8% |
| 2022-07-27 miss | 1.09 | 0.93 | -14.1% | -0.6% | -1.1% | +2.9% | +7.3% |
| 2022-04-27 beat | 0.98 | 0.99 | +1.0% | +0.5% | +2.4% | +3.7% | -1.8% |
| 2022-01-26 beat | 1.26 | 1.49 | +17.8% | +3.4% | +6.4% | +9.9% | +5.0% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 0.99 | 1.10 | +11.3% | -1.1% | -6.3% | +5.1% | +0.6% |
| 2021-07-28 beat | 0.92 | 1.13 | +23.2% | -0.4% | +2.5% | -2.1% | +3.2% |
| 2021-04-27 beat | 0.92 | 1.00 | +8.2% | -1.4% | -2.2% | +4.1% | +0.2% |
| 2021-01-29 beat | 0.88 | 1.11 | +27.0% | +3.4% | -0.6% | +6.5% | +20.5% |
| 2020-10-27 beat | 0.59 | 0.71 | +19.4% | -1.9% | -4.0% | +0.6% | +22.5% |
| 2020-07-29 beat | 0.47 | 0.69 | +47.1% | +4.1% | +5.7% | +2.2% | +4.9% |
| 2020-04-30 miss | 0.61 | 0.53 | -12.7% | -10.0% | -7.5% | -3.8% | +10.2% |
| 2020-01-30 beat | 0.72 | 0.84 | +16.6% | +3.7% | +5.6% | +2.7% | -12.5% |
| 2019-10-30 beat | 0.65 | 0.67 | +2.2% | -1.0% | -1.5% | +5.6% | +8.9% |
| 2019-07-30 beat | 0.61 | 0.63 | +2.3% | -0.5% | +1.8% | -10.2% | -15.7% |
| 2019-04-30 beat | 0.54 | 0.59 | +9.1% | +0.0% | +1.1% | -1.8% | -7.8% |
| 2019-02-01 beat | 0.65 | 0.70 | +6.6% | +1.1% | +5.0% | +4.3% | +9.8% |
| 2018-10-30 beat | 0.59 | 0.60 | +1.0% | +3.1% | +3.3% | +8.4% | +5.6% |
| 2018-07-30 beat | 0.51 | 0.54 | +6.1% | +2.2% | +3.7% | +1.1% | +2.1% |
| 2018-04-30 beat | 0.48 | 0.51 | +6.7% | +2.1% | +1.9% | +0.8% | -1.0% |
| 2018-01-30 beat | 0.43 | 0.65 | +50.5% | +1.8% | +0.9% | -4.5% | -4.3% |
| 2017-10-30 beat | 0.37 | 0.40 | +7.2% | +2.7% | +2.5% | -1.6% | +6.1% |
| 2017-07-31 beat | 0.33 | 0.40 | +21.1% | +1.9% | +1.0% | -1.1% | -7.8% |
| 2017-05-01 miss | 0.33 | 0.33 | -0.4% | +0.0% | -2.5% | -1.0% | -9.2% |
| 2017-01-31 beat | 0.29 | 0.30 | +4.6% | -1.1% | +1.2% | +7.6% | +7.8% |
| 2016-11-02 beat | 0.27 | 0.31 | +12.0% | +0.7% | -2.6% | +17.0% | +33.9% |
| 2016-08-02 beat | 0.26 | 0.31 | +19.1% | +4.9% | +7.7% | -0.8% | +5.7% |
| 2016-05-09 beat | 0.23 | 0.25 | +12.0% | -1.4% | +10.2% | -1.3% | +7.3% |
| 2016-02-23 miss | 0.30 | 0.23 | -23.6% | -5.6% | -4.8% | +15.1% | +8.8% |
| 2015-11-04 miss | 0.30 | 0.27 | -12.6% | -4.1% | -6.3% | +3.3% | +2.8% |
| 2015-08-10 miss | 0.32 | 0.32 | -1.0% | -5.0% | -4.0% | -1.4% | -13.7% |
| 2015-05-11 miss | 0.32 | 0.29 | -10.1% | -4.5% | -2.9% | +2.0% | +12.1% |
| 2015-02-23 miss | 0.35 | 0.33 | -3.4% | +4.2% | +5.8% | -1.1% | +1.1% |
| 2014-11-06 miss | 0.29 | 0.28 | -2.5% | -3.4% | -1.6% | +1.9% | +8.5% |
| 2014-08-06 beat | 0.30 | 0.30 | +1.1% | -2.6% | +0.6% | +0.8% | +1.4% |
| 2014-05-08 beat | 0.30 | 0.31 | +1.0% | -4.3% | +0.7% | -3.8% | -0.1% |
| 2014-02-24 beat | 0.30 | 0.31 | +2.3% | +2.4% | -2.5% | +1.9% | +3.4% |
| 2013-11-07 beat | 0.15 | 0.41 | +171.5% | +0.1% | +6.0% | +1.3% | +3.5% |
| 2013-08-08 beat | 0.25 | 0.27 | +4.8% | -0.8% | +2.2% | +0.5% | +9.6% |
| 2013-05-09 beat | 0.26 | 0.26 | +0.7% | -4.6% | -3.1% | +5.7% | +6.6% |
| 2013-02-25 beat | 0.26 | 0.27 | +4.5% | +0.4% | -6.3% | -2.6% | -1.7% |
| 2012-11-05 beat | 0.20 | 0.23 | +13.1% | +3.6% | +2.1% | -6.8% | -4.8% |
| 2012-08-08 miss | 0.24 | 0.19 | -22.0% | -4.2% | +0.9% | +1.5% | +11.1% |
| 2012-05-09 beat | 0.23 | 0.24 | +4.4% | -0.8% | -5.3% | -4.6% | -9.8% |
| 2012-02-15 beat | 0.19 | 0.19 | +1.7% | +0.7% | +9.9% | -3.7% | -2.3% |
| 2011-11-09 miss | 0.19 | 0.16 | -19.5% | +0.2% | -1.5% | +4.8% | +1.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.