SHOP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +3.3% | +1.3% | 15.3% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.0% | -1.2% | 4.2% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +1.5% | +1.5% | 6.0% | 60% |
| 5-day | +5.5% | +11.3% | 18.9% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-05 beat | 0.40 | 0.42 | +5.0% | +21.7% | +17.0% | +4.3% | +1.1% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 0.33 | 0.36 | +8.6% | -9.0% | -15.6% | -7.2% | +7.8% |
| 2026-02-11 miss | 0.51 | 0.48 | -5.7% | +9.2% | -6.7% | +4.3% | +3.6% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 0.34 | 0.34 | +0.6% | -5.7% | -6.9% | -1.2% | +0.9% |
| 2025-08-06 beat | 0.29 | 0.35 | +22.1% | +14.3% | +22.0% | -3.1% | -5.2% |
| 2025-05-08 miss | 0.26 | 0.25 | -4.5% | -5.1% | -0.5% | +17.2% | +14.7% |
| 2025-02-11 beat | 0.43 | 0.44 | +1.8% | +2.0% | +3.1% | +3.3% | -26.7% |
| 2024-11-12 beat | 0.18 | 0.64 | +254.9% | +19.5% | +21.0% | -4.0% | +5.9% |
| 2024-08-07 beat | 0.20 | 0.26 | +29.1% | +19.0% | +17.8% | +12.1% | +4.9% |
| 2024-05-08 beat | 0.17 | 0.20 | +17.9% | -17.4% | -18.6% | -6.3% | -1.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.