SIG chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +4.5% | +5.3% | 12.5% | 63% |
| Day 2 | -0.6% | -0.6% | 6.4% | 33% |
| Day 3 | -1.3% | +0.5% | 5.2% | 57% |
| 5-day | +3.7% | -1.5% | 17.9% | 48% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 beat | 1.74 | 2.19 | +26.1% | +14.9% | +24.0% | — | — |
| 2026-06-02 beat | 1.38 | 1.56 | +12.9% | +5.9% | +3.7% | -1.4% | -4.4% |
| 2026-03-19 beat | 6.11 | 6.25 | +2.2% | +4.1% | +13.7% | -1.8% | +6.8% |
| 2025-12-02 beat | 0.29 | 0.63 | +119.7% | -1.6% | -6.8% | -2.2% | -3.5% |
| 2025-09-02 beat | 1.24 | 1.61 | +29.8% | +2.9% | +2.7% | +0.5% | +5.8% |
| 2025-06-03 beat | 1.04 | 1.18 | +13.8% | +16.7% | +12.5% | +6.4% | +11.9% |
| 2025-03-19 beat | 6.25 | 6.62 | +5.9% | +21.2% | +17.3% | +6.8% | -2.2% |
| 2024-12-05 miss | 0.33 | 0.24 | -28.0% | -13.5% | -11.9% | -2.1% | -11.4% |
| 2024-09-12 beat | 1.21 | 1.25 | +3.4% | +15.1% | +11.3% | +11.8% | +10.6% |
| 2024-06-13 beat | 0.98 | 1.11 | +13.6% | -7.7% | -14.9% | -2.8% | -4.0% |
| 2024-03-20 beat | 6.39 | 6.73 | +5.3% | -12.2% | -12.1% | +10.4% | +6.0% |
| 2023-12-05 beat | 0.22 | 0.24 | +7.2% | -2.7% | +5.9% | +7.4% | +10.2% |
| 2023-08-31 beat | 1.45 | 1.55 | +6.7% | +3.2% | +5.0% | -0.2% | -3.1% |
| 2023-06-08 beat | 1.49 | 1.78 | +19.6% | -12.1% | -10.7% | -3.7% | +18.2% |
| 2023-03-16 beat | 5.43 | 5.52 | +1.8% | +5.8% | +11.3% | -3.4% | -0.2% |
| 2022-12-06 beat | 0.32 | 0.74 | +133.4% | +10.7% | +20.2% | +1.2% | +2.8% |
| 2022-09-01 beat | 2.59 | 2.68 | +3.6% | -3.6% | -12.0% | +10.3% | +2.3% |
| 2022-06-09 beat | 2.38 | 2.86 | +20.0% | +5.4% | +9.1% | -16.4% | -21.1% |
| 2022-03-17 miss | 5.01 | 5.01 | -0.0% | +7.1% | +7.0% | -4.8% | -5.7% |
| 2021-12-02 beat | 0.72 | 1.43 | +99.0% | -3.4% | -5.1% | -0.3% | +5.5% |
| 2021-09-02 beat | 1.69 | 3.57 | +110.7% | +9.1% | +5.7% | -9.8% | -1.3% |
| 2021-06-10 beat | 1.27 | 2.23 | +75.7% | +7.3% | +14.0% | +6.8% | +10.6% |
| 2021-03-18 beat | 3.54 | 4.15 | +17.2% | +6.0% | +3.4% | -6.9% | -0.6% |
| 2020-12-03 beat | -0.66 | 0.11 | +116.7% | +0.1% | -1.1% | -7.6% | +0.5% |
| 2020-09-02 beat | -2.07 | -1.13 | +45.4% | +4.7% | -3.9% | -0.5% | +12.1% |
| 2020-06-09 beat | -2.66 | -1.59 | +40.3% | -11.1% | -16.1% | -14.5% | -28.6% |
| 2020-03-26 beat | 3.50 | 3.67 | +4.9% | +10.0% | +29.9% | -35.2% | -13.6% |
| 2019-12-05 beat | -1.09 | -0.76 | +30.0% | +8.1% | +7.4% | +22.5% | +3.2% |
| 2019-09-05 beat | 0.24 | 0.51 | +108.9% | +30.2% | +26.9% | +24.3% | +16.3% |
| 2019-06-06 beat | -0.24 | 0.08 | +134.0% | -3.1% | -1.2% | -0.3% | -5.0% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.