SIRI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.3% | -3.9% | 7.2% | 40% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | +0.7% | 4.2% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.5% | +0.0% | 3.2% | 40% |
| 5-day | -0.2% | -0.7% | 8.1% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 miss | 0.78 | 0.70 | -10.8% | -7.9% | -5.0% | -3.5% | -7.8% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 0.71 | 0.74 | +4.6% | -2.8% | +0.7% | -0.7% | +7.8% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 0.78 | 0.86 | +10.0% | +8.2% | +9.0% | -4.0% | -4.0% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 0.78 | 0.84 | +7.9% | +7.1% | +10.1% | -6.7% | -10.3% |
| 2025-07-31 miss | 0.77 | 0.57 | -26.3% | -1.9% | -7.9% | +0.9% | +11.9% |
| 2025-05-01 miss | 0.66 | 0.59 | -10.1% | +0.9% | -9.0% | +11.4% | +9.0% |
| 2025-01-30 beat | 0.74 | 0.81 | +9.3% | +0.7% | +5.8% | +12.1% | +4.0% |
| 2024-10-31 miss | 0.74 | -8.74 | -1284.2% | -1.4% | -2.7% | -2.0% | +3.2% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.75 | 0.80 | +6.3% | +1.2% | -6.4% | -2.2% | +1.9% |
| 2024-04-30 beat | 0.69 | 0.70 | +1.9% | -2.2% | -7.3% | +6.5% | -6.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.