SJM chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.8% | +1.7% | 6.0% | 55% |
| Day 2 | +0.5% | +0.8% | 1.8% | 55% |
| Day 3 | +0.7% | +0.6% | 1.4% | 60% |
| 5-day | +1.2% | +1.6% | 5.8% | 75% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 beat | 2.22 | 3.24 | +46.2% | +7.5% | +4.3% | +0.4% | — |
| 2026-06-09 beat | 2.64 | 2.77 | +5.0% | +5.1% | +10.4% | +3.2% | -0.7% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | 2.26 | 2.38 | +5.2% | +10.4% | +8.8% | -4.0% | -17.9% |
| 2025-11-25 miss | 2.10 | 2.10 | -0.0% | -3.7% | -3.7% | +0.0% | -0.7% |
| 2025-08-27 miss | 1.93 | 1.90 | -1.4% | -9.3% | -4.4% | +6.3% | +3.4% |
| 2025-06-10 beat | 2.25 | 2.31 | +2.8% | -6.1% | -15.6% | +0.1% | +11.0% |
| 2025-02-27 beat | 2.37 | 2.61 | +10.3% | -4.2% | +0.0% | +2.2% | +6.6% |
| 2024-11-26 beat | 2.51 | 2.76 | +10.2% | +5.6% | +5.7% | -3.9% | -7.9% |
| 2024-08-28 beat | 2.17 | 2.44 | +12.2% | -6.4% | -4.9% | +5.6% | +5.6% |
| 2024-06-06 beat | 2.33 | 2.66 | +14.2% | +3.7% | +4.6% | -3.8% | -5.2% |
| 2024-02-27 beat | 2.27 | 2.48 | +9.2% | -0.5% | -2.1% | -1.3% | +2.5% |
| 2023-12-05 beat | 2.47 | 2.59 | +4.8% | +3.0% | +3.3% | +7.4% | +10.3% |
| 2023-08-29 beat | 2.04 | 2.21 | +8.2% | +2.1% | +2.1% | -3.3% | -14.6% |
| 2023-06-06 beat | 2.41 | 2.64 | +9.3% | +2.7% | -1.8% | +3.4% | +1.0% |
| 2023-02-28 beat | 2.13 | 2.21 | +3.7% | +0.0% | -0.1% | +1.3% | +6.5% |
| 2022-11-21 beat | 2.19 | 2.40 | +9.5% | -1.7% | +1.3% | +2.3% | +6.6% |
| 2022-08-23 beat | 1.27 | 1.67 | +31.7% | +2.5% | +3.3% | -1.1% | -0.2% |
| 2022-06-07 beat | 1.89 | 2.23 | +18.2% | -0.2% | +5.7% | -3.8% | +1.3% |
| 2022-03-01 beat | 2.08 | 2.33 | +11.8% | -3.2% | -6.3% | +4.4% | +6.8% |
| 2021-11-23 beat | 2.05 | 2.43 | +18.8% | +3.8% | +5.7% | -5.3% | -0.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.