SMFG chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.0% | +0.2% | 4.5% | 60% |
| Day 2 | -1.4% | -1.5% | 1.4% | 20% |
| Day 3 | -0.7% | -0.8% | 2.7% | 40% |
| 5-day | +0.9% | +1.8% | 5.8% | 70% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-31 beat | 0.44 | 0.50 | +13.4% | -1.2% | +0.4% | -0.5% | -0.2% |
| 2026-05-13 beat | 0.11 | 0.19 | +75.3% | +1.3% | +1.0% | +2.3% | +9.3% |
| 2026-01-30 beat | 0.40 | 0.47 | +15.6% | -0.7% | -1.4% | +9.8% | -1.4% |
| 2025-11-14 beat | 0.40 | 0.56 | +40.4% | +3.1% | +5.5% | -2.6% | +9.6% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 0.35 | 0.39 | +11.8% | -0.8% | -1.4% | +3.0% | +8.5% |
| 2025-05-14 miss | 0.07 | 0.05 | -31.6% | +1.6% | +0.1% | +1.9% | +3.0% |
| 2025-01-29 beat | 0.12 | 0.41 | +234.1% | -1.3% | -0.3% | -1.5% | +0.4% |
| 2024-11-14 beat | 0.10 | 0.12 | +12.3% | +2.6% | +2.9% | -1.6% | +2.6% |
| 2024-08-02 beat | 0.30 | 0.39 | +30.3% | -10.0% | -11.0% | -2.6% | +6.5% |
| 2024-05-15 beat | 0.13 | 0.17 | +25.4% | +3.9% | +3.9% | +2.0% | +2.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.