SOFI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +3.2% | +2.3% | 11.2% | 65% |
| Day 2 | -2.4% | -2.4% | 6.7% | 35% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | -0.7% | 5.8% | 40% |
| 5-day | +0.2% | -1.9% | 14.3% | 40% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 beat | 0.11 | 0.12 | +9.9% | -7.4% | -8.9% | +19.7% | +25.8% |
| 2026-04-27 miss | 0.12 | 0.12 | -4.2% | -1.9% | -2.1% | -12.7% | -7.6% |
| 2026-01-30 beat | 0.11 | 0.12 | +8.7% | +4.4% | -6.4% | -8.5% | -18.4% |
| 2025-10-28 beat | 0.08 | 0.10 | +23.0% | +3.3% | +5.5% | -7.2% | -10.0% |
| 2025-07-29 beat | 0.06 | 0.09 | +44.7% | +9.9% | +6.6% | -3.8% | +11.4% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | 0.03 | 0.06 | +93.9% | +7.0% | +0.5% | -4.1% | -0.8% |
| 2025-01-27 beat | 0.04 | 0.05 | +36.4% | -11.1% | -10.3% | -4.2% | -10.0% |
| 2024-10-29 beat | 0.04 | 0.05 | +15.2% | -3.9% | -6.4% | +9.1% | +54.0% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | 0.01 | 0.02 | +60.0% | +3.4% | +1.2% | -13.3% | +0.9% |
| 2024-04-29 beat | — | 0.03 | +638.0% | -6.4% | -10.5% | +1.6% | -2.8% |
| 2024-01-29 beat | 0.04 | 0.04 | +2.3% | +15.7% | +20.2% | -17.2% | -3.3% |
| 2023-10-30 beat | -0.09 | -0.03 | +65.4% | +10.6% | +1.0% | +7.9% | +5.9% |
| 2023-07-31 beat | -0.07 | -0.06 | +14.2% | +8.8% | +19.9% | -18.0% | -26.1% |
| 2023-05-01 beat | -0.09 | -0.04 | +49.8% | +4.7% | -12.2% | +0.0% | +26.9% |
| 2023-01-30 beat | -0.07 | -0.04 | +44.9% | +10.9% | +12.5% | +10.9% | -3.6% |
| 2022-11-01 miss | -0.07 | -0.08 | -17.5% | +18.8% | +5.3% | -11.0% | -17.3% |
| 2022-08-02 miss | -0.10 | -0.11 | -8.5% | +13.6% | +28.4% | -5.1% | -28.9% |
| 2022-05-10 beat | -0.13 | -0.11 | +15.8% | -0.8% | +4.6% | +31.7% | +8.2% |
| 2022-03-01 beat | -0.12 | -0.12 | +3.8% | +15.6% | +3.4% | -14.8% | -18.4% |
| 2021-11-10 beat | -0.13 | -0.12 | +7.6% | +17.5% | +12.5% | -10.4% | -36.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.