SON chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -3.2% | -1.2% | 6.2% | 30% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | -0.8% | 2.9% | 30% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | +0.0% | 2.2% | 50% |
| 5-day | -4.0% | -4.5% | 5.4% | 20% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 beat | 1.48 | 1.51 | +2.1% | +4.6% | +2.1% | +0.9% | +5.6% |
| 2026-04-21 beat | 1.20 | 1.20 | +0.3% | -7.0% | -16.2% | +3.3% | +2.3% |
| 2026-02-16 beat | 1.00 | 1.05 | +5.5% | +0.2% | +1.6% | -3.1% | -10.1% |
| 2025-10-22 miss | 1.93 | 1.92 | -0.3% | +1.0% | -0.1% | -5.2% | -0.9% |
| 2025-07-23 miss | 1.45 | 1.37 | -5.7% | -1.0% | -0.2% | -7.2% | -2.1% |
| 2025-04-29 miss | 1.41 | 1.38 | -1.9% | -5.4% | -12.3% | +7.7% | +11.1% |
| 2025-02-18 miss | 1.20 | 1.00 | -16.7% | -4.1% | -3.7% | +1.1% | +3.1% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 1.46 | 1.49 | +1.8% | -2.9% | -2.6% | -0.9% | +2.0% |
| 2024-07-31 beat | 1.24 | 1.28 | +3.4% | -3.8% | -2.3% | -6.0% | +7.4% |
| 2024-04-30 beat | 1.07 | 1.12 | +4.2% | +2.0% | +1.2% | +3.6% | +8.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.