SPB chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.3% | +2.5% | 6.5% | 63% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +0.3% | 2.3% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.4% | -0.6% | 2.1% | 37% |
| 5-day | +2.9% | +1.9% | 7.2% | 63% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-07 beat | 1.46 | 2.79 | +91.6% | +9.3% | +2.1% | -0.2% | -2.9% |
| 2026-05-07 beat | 1.06 | 1.25 | +17.5% | -1.4% | -7.5% | +1.8% | +3.5% |
| 2026-02-05 beat | 0.76 | 1.40 | +84.7% | +6.7% | +10.2% | +0.5% | +1.1% |
| 2025-11-13 beat | 0.91 | 2.61 | +186.2% | +10.9% | +9.7% | -7.0% | +5.4% |
| 2025-08-07 miss | 1.24 | 1.24 | -0.2% | +3.5% | +7.4% | +2.4% | -2.4% |
| 2025-05-08 miss | 1.38 | 0.68 | -50.7% | -5.8% | +3.6% | +0.7% | -12.4% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 0.92 | 1.02 | +11.1% | -5.0% | -7.7% | +2.7% | -2.9% |
| 2024-11-15 miss | 1.07 | 0.97 | -9.2% | -3.1% | -6.0% | +2.5% | +1.0% |
| 2024-08-08 miss | 1.22 | 1.10 | -9.8% | +1.3% | +10.6% | +0.6% | -0.5% |
| 2024-05-09 beat | 0.62 | 1.62 | +161.6% | +5.9% | +11.9% | -1.3% | -5.3% |
| 2024-02-08 beat | 0.48 | 0.78 | +61.4% | +2.0% | +7.7% | -0.2% | -3.1% |
| 2023-11-17 beat | 0.99 | 1.36 | +36.9% | -1.7% | -11.8% | -1.8% | +19.4% |
| 2023-08-11 beat | 0.51 | 0.75 | +46.8% | +3.0% | +3.0% | +2.7% | +3.8% |
| 2023-05-12 beat | -0.18 | -0.14 | +22.4% | -1.7% | -0.9% | +2.6% | +6.0% |
| 2023-02-10 beat | -0.39 | -0.32 | +17.2% | -1.7% | -0.2% | -1.8% | -5.0% |
| 2022-11-18 beat | 0.34 | 0.48 | +42.6% | +0.3% | -4.0% | +2.4% | +23.6% |
| 2022-08-12 miss | 1.42 | 0.54 | -62.1% | -8.5% | -0.9% | -2.7% | -14.4% |
| 2022-05-06 beat | 0.38 | 0.41 | +8.4% | +4.1% | +3.9% | +5.4% | +3.2% |
| 2022-02-04 miss | 0.22 | -0.06 | -127.9% | -0.3% | +0.1% | +5.3% | -5.0% |
| 2021-11-12 beat | 0.80 | 1.11 | +39.1% | +1.5% | +9.2% | +2.3% | -6.7% |
| 2021-08-06 miss | 1.58 | 1.57 | -0.7% | -3.7% | -3.7% | -0.6% | -1.3% |
| 2021-05-07 beat | 0.99 | 1.76 | +77.7% | -0.9% | +3.4% | -2.6% | -6.8% |
| 2021-02-05 beat | 0.77 | 2.13 | +177.7% | +3.5% | +2.5% | +0.9% | +0.1% |
| 2020-11-13 beat | 1.25 | 1.72 | +37.4% | +7.8% | +3.2% | -0.7% | +8.6% |
| 2020-07-31 beat | 0.91 | 1.36 | +50.1% | +0.7% | +2.4% | +7.3% | +10.0% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | 0.37 | 0.91 | +148.6% | +9.6% | +0.3% | -2.2% | +11.0% |
| 2020-01-30 miss | 0.32 | 0.20 | -38.0% | -3.2% | -2.0% | -2.3% | -4.6% |
| 2019-11-13 beat | 1.13 | 1.13 | +0.4% | +7.8% | +18.0% | +3.2% | +2.0% |
| 2019-08-07 miss | 1.25 | 0.86 | -31.3% | +0.8% | +4.2% | -3.1% | +13.4% |
| 2019-05-08 miss | 0.37 | 0.26 | -29.3% | +0.5% | -0.3% | +0.0% | -11.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-14); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.