SPG chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.7% | +1.5% | 3.8% | 55% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.1% | 2.2% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.7% | +0.9% | 1.0% | 75% |
| 5-day | +2.2% | +3.0% | 4.9% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-10 beat | 1.57 | 1.73 | +10.1% | -0.1% | -0.5% | +0.5% | -6.8% |
| 2026-05-11 miss | 1.49 | 1.22 | -18.0% | +2.1% | +2.3% | -2.3% | +4.5% |
| 2026-02-02 miss | 1.97 | 1.04 | -47.1% | -0.4% | -0.9% | +3.6% | +6.1% |
| 2025-11-03 miss | 1.68 | 1.60 | -4.7% | +0.8% | +3.4% | +1.3% | +0.4% |
| 2025-08-04 miss | 1.61 | 1.36 | -15.5% | -2.4% | +3.3% | -0.1% | +7.2% |
| 2025-05-12 beat | 1.44 | 1.45 | +1.1% | -2.2% | -6.2% | +1.3% | -1.3% |
| 2025-02-04 miss | 1.85 | 1.79 | -3.1% | +3.0% | +3.3% | +2.7% | -4.5% |
| 2024-11-01 miss | 1.53 | 1.46 | -4.6% | -1.2% | -0.8% | +6.8% | +7.7% |
| 2024-08-05 beat | 1.44 | 1.51 | +4.6% | +1.4% | +5.1% | +0.2% | +5.6% |
| 2024-05-06 miss | 1.48 | 0.84 | -43.4% | +1.6% | +2.4% | +1.1% | +3.9% |
| 2024-02-05 miss | 1.84 | 1.55 | -15.8% | +0.5% | +4.8% | +0.1% | +4.4% |
| 2023-10-30 miss | 1.47 | 1.19 | -19.0% | +1.0% | +4.3% | +4.9% | +13.7% |
| 2023-08-02 beat | 1.46 | 1.49 | +2.0% | -4.4% | -4.6% | +0.4% | -2.9% |
| 2023-05-02 beat | 1.35 | 1.38 | +1.9% | +0.8% | -4.0% | -1.0% | -1.0% |
| 2023-02-06 miss | 1.77 | 1.46 | -17.6% | -0.6% | -2.1% | -0.4% | -6.8% |
| 2022-11-01 miss | 1.54 | 1.43 | -6.8% | +0.9% | +4.5% | +1.4% | +4.5% |
| 2022-08-01 beat | 1.56 | 1.62 | +3.5% | +1.2% | -2.9% | +2.4% | -3.3% |
| 2022-05-09 miss | 1.29 | 1.21 | -6.2% | +2.5% | +0.7% | +1.4% | -12.8% |
| 2022-02-07 beat | 1.45 | 1.52 | +4.8% | -6.1% | -4.6% | -0.5% | -6.6% |
| 2021-11-01 beat | 1.08 | 1.18 | +10.1% | +5.1% | +6.4% | +5.3% | -4.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.