SPGI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.6% | +0.9% | 3.8% | 57% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | -0.4% | 1.6% | 40% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.5% | 1.6% | 53% |
| 5-day | -0.1% | +0.7% | 5.1% | 57% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 miss | 5.02 | 4.87 | -2.9% | -4.8% | -3.5% | -2.8% | +2.9% |
| 2026-04-28 beat | 4.82 | 4.97 | +3.2% | +1.1% | -0.9% | -2.2% | -3.6% |
| 2026-02-10 miss | 4.34 | 4.30 | -0.8% | -5.7% | -9.7% | +4.6% | +4.6% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 4.41 | 4.73 | +7.3% | +3.1% | +3.9% | -0.3% | +0.8% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 4.22 | 4.43 | +4.9% | +1.1% | +4.1% | +1.5% | -0.5% |
| 2025-04-29 beat | 4.21 | 4.37 | +3.9% | +1.5% | +2.6% | +2.0% | +4.5% |
| 2025-02-11 beat | 3.47 | 3.77 | +8.6% | +4.8% | +4.9% | +0.4% | -11.2% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 3.64 | 3.89 | +6.8% | -2.3% | -3.5% | -2.6% | +4.3% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | 3.65 | 4.04 | +10.8% | +1.2% | -0.3% | -1.8% | +3.4% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 3.66 | 4.01 | +9.7% | +3.6% | +0.5% | +0.4% | +5.5% |
| 2024-02-08 miss | 3.14 | 3.13 | -0.4% | -6.1% | -5.0% | -2.8% | -2.3% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 3.04 | 3.21 | +5.4% | +3.9% | +7.0% | +3.1% | +12.8% |
| 2023-07-27 miss | 3.13 | 3.12 | -0.3% | -5.8% | -7.6% | -3.0% | -1.9% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 2.92 | 3.15 | +8.1% | +1.7% | +4.6% | -2.3% | +1.5% |
| 2023-02-09 beat | 2.48 | 2.54 | +2.6% | +1.4% | -0.6% | -1.6% | -10.7% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 2.80 | 2.93 | +4.8% | +0.3% | +2.5% | -3.1% | +9.9% |
| 2022-08-02 miss | 2.93 | 2.81 | -4.2% | -1.6% | -1.7% | +2.0% | -4.8% |
| 2022-05-04 miss | 2.97 | 2.89 | -2.6% | -0.8% | +1.3% | -10.6% | -7.8% |
| 2022-02-08 beat | 3.12 | 3.15 | +1.0% | -1.0% | -1.3% | -3.6% | -4.3% |
| 2021-10-26 beat | 3.15 | 3.54 | +12.3% | +1.5% | +3.9% | -0.7% | -0.2% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 3.27 | 3.62 | +10.7% | +2.0% | +2.9% | +4.3% | +3.5% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 3.08 | 3.39 | +10.2% | +1.3% | +3.3% | -0.8% | -3.4% |
| 2021-02-09 beat | 2.51 | 2.71 | +8.0% | +1.4% | +2.1% | +2.0% | +3.8% |
| 2020-10-27 beat | 2.55 | 2.85 | +11.7% | -1.1% | -0.8% | +1.2% | +2.2% |
| 2020-07-28 beat | 2.64 | 3.40 | +28.6% | +1.5% | -1.1% | -0.5% | +4.8% |
| 2020-04-28 beat | 2.32 | 2.73 | +17.6% | +3.0% | +1.6% | -0.1% | +7.8% |
| 2020-02-06 beat | 2.42 | 2.53 | +4.7% | +0.7% | +0.3% | +2.0% | -17.9% |
| 2019-10-29 beat | 2.34 | 2.46 | +5.1% | +2.4% | +3.1% | -2.0% | +3.6% |
| 2019-08-01 beat | 2.28 | 2.43 | +6.7% | +3.1% | +5.0% | +0.2% | +1.2% |
| 2019-05-02 miss | 2.12 | 2.11 | -0.6% | -1.6% | -1.0% | -1.9% | -1.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.