SPHR chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.0% | -0.6% | 8.9% | 50% |
| Day 2 | -0.7% | -0.8% | 4.3% | 33% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | +0.6% | 3.9% | 54% |
| 5-day | +1.5% | +0.5% | 14.2% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | -1.39 | -0.62 | +55.6% | -0.8% | +5.8% | +4.0% | -4.5% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | -0.44 | 0.14 | +131.8% | +6.2% | +0.1% | -0.5% | +4.1% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | -0.19 | 1.55 | +901.2% | +14.5% | +22.1% | -1.3% | -4.2% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | -1.87 | -1.12 | +40.3% | -3.5% | +4.7% | +12.5% | +19.1% |
| 2025-08-11 beat | -1.41 | 3.73 | +363.4% | +11.7% | -3.9% | +8.3% | +41.2% |
| 2025-05-08 beat | -2.16 | -1.60 | +26.1% | +3.7% | +6.0% | +18.9% | +21.4% |
| 2025-03-03 beat | -1.97 | -1.57 | +20.3% | -6.4% | -13.6% | -13.0% | -12.5% |
| 2024-05-10 miss | 0.51 | -0.87 | -270.2% | -0.1% | -4.8% | -8.2% | -5.7% |
| 2024-02-05 miss | -0.01 | -1.35 | -8882.7% | +0.6% | +10.1% | +6.7% | +23.5% |
| 2023-11-08 miss | 1.98 | 1.82 | -8.1% | +1.2% | -4.5% | +13.1% | +2.5% |
| 2023-08-22 | — | 10.21 | — | +3.6% | +7.7% | -13.2% | -8.2% |
| 2023-05-10 beat | -0.70 | 0.10 | +114.4% | +1.1% | -12.8% | -11.6% | +1.7% |
| 2023-02-09 beat | 0.81 | 2.38 | +194.3% | +9.2% | +11.7% | +2.6% | -6.8% |
| 2022-11-09 beat | -0.96 | -0.78 | +18.6% | -2.5% | -8.3% | +5.3% | -1.1% |
| 2022-08-19 miss | -0.47 | -2.38 | -406.2% | +7.1% | +3.5% | -12.3% | -18.7% |
| 2022-05-09 miss | 0.29 | -0.10 | -133.3% | +0.0% | -10.1% | -1.3% | +5.7% |
| 2022-02-09 miss | 1.17 | 0.28 | -76.0% | -1.2% | +5.9% | +4.5% | -1.8% |
| 2021-11-09 beat | -1.19 | -1.04 | +13.2% | -1.2% | -2.8% | -7.4% | -14.9% |
| 2021-08-23 miss | -3.20 | -4.85 | -51.5% | +3.7% | +16.2% | +7.6% | +4.8% |
| 2021-05-07 beat | -4.38 | -3.26 | +25.5% | +1.3% | +4.1% | -1.5% | +0.2% |
| 2021-02-12 miss | -3.86 | -5.08 | -31.6% | +0.4% | -4.6% | -0.7% | +8.1% |
| 2020-11-16 beat | -3.67 | -2.84 | +22.7% | -1.6% | -2.2% | +3.7% | +2.2% |
| 2020-08-14 miss | -4.17 | -4.53 | -8.8% | -1.7% | -5.5% | -5.3% | +12.3% |
| 2020-05-18 beat | -2.40 | -1.33 | +44.7% | +1.9% | -1.4% | -3.4% | -0.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.