SPSC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.8% | +1.2% | 8.7% | 62% |
| Day 2 | -0.2% | -0.2% | 2.2% | 47% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | +0.2% | 2.2% | 52% |
| 5-day | +0.7% | +3.3% | 10.9% | 57% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 1.09 | 1.27 | +16.0% | +8.9% | +11.5% | +0.0% | +16.4% |
| 2026-04-30 beat | 0.98 | 1.10 | +12.5% | +6.2% | +5.0% | -4.2% | -1.9% |
| 2026-02-12 beat | 1.01 | 1.14 | +13.1% | +5.2% | -4.4% | -12.4% | -2.4% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 1.00 | 1.13 | +13.3% | -28.8% | -20.8% | -0.2% | +0.0% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 0.91 | 1.00 | +10.3% | -17.2% | -22.0% | +0.1% | +1.3% |
| 2025-04-24 beat | 0.85 | 1.00 | +18.1% | -3.1% | -0.9% | +4.3% | +5.8% |
| 2025-02-10 beat | 0.87 | 0.89 | +2.8% | -3.4% | -13.8% | -4.0% | -19.4% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 0.83 | 0.92 | +11.3% | -0.1% | -10.7% | -2.4% | +13.4% |
| 2024-07-25 beat | 0.77 | 0.80 | +4.3% | +2.5% | +1.6% | -4.0% | -5.1% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 0.74 | 0.86 | +16.8% | +6.2% | +5.6% | +1.9% | +7.3% |
| 2024-02-08 beat | 0.70 | 0.75 | +7.7% | +8.2% | +14.8% | -8.6% | -13.6% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 0.67 | 0.75 | +11.5% | +1.8% | -0.7% | +8.0% | +13.2% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | 0.63 | 0.69 | +9.7% | +0.0% | +1.0% | -4.3% | +2.8% |
| 2023-04-26 beat | 0.58 | 0.67 | +16.0% | +2.5% | +3.3% | +1.1% | +10.2% |
| 2023-02-09 beat | 0.54 | 0.63 | +17.5% | +8.6% | +5.9% | +4.3% | +0.5% |
| 2022-10-27 beat | 0.52 | 0.63 | +20.1% | +1.5% | -1.1% | -7.5% | +3.6% |
| 2022-07-27 beat | 0.49 | 0.53 | +7.4% | -1.0% | +0.6% | +9.4% | +5.1% |
| 2022-04-28 beat | 0.47 | 0.55 | +16.8% | -0.4% | -1.9% | -1.6% | -10.5% |
| 2022-02-09 beat | 0.42 | 0.46 | +9.8% | -2.6% | +0.9% | -2.2% | -7.7% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 0.42 | 0.47 | +13.2% | -3.0% | -11.8% | -3.3% | -7.7% |
| 2021-07-29 beat | 0.40 | 0.46 | +15.0% | +4.5% | +8.5% | +4.7% | +25.8% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 0.37 | 0.43 | +15.2% | +4.9% | +1.4% | -4.0% | -7.9% |
| 2021-02-11 beat | 0.34 | 0.40 | +16.3% | -3.5% | -0.2% | -0.9% | -2.9% |
| 2020-10-28 beat | 0.33 | 0.39 | +19.4% | +1.9% | +3.0% | +7.6% | +21.0% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | 0.31 | 0.37 | +19.4% | +2.0% | +2.5% | +2.2% | +6.3% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | 0.32 | 0.38 | +18.4% | -1.2% | -2.1% | +9.7% | +30.0% |
| 2020-02-13 beat | 0.30 | 0.35 | +17.4% | +3.3% | +0.7% | -8.6% | -36.4% |
| 2019-10-24 beat | 0.28 | 0.33 | +17.2% | +9.5% | +7.2% | +2.2% | +9.7% |
| 2019-07-25 beat | 0.26 | 0.30 | +14.2% | +6.7% | +10.5% | -2.8% | -12.9% |
| 2019-04-25 beat | 0.26 | 0.30 | +17.0% | +5.8% | +4.5% | -0.2% | -4.9% |
| 2019-02-12 beat | 0.23 | 0.27 | +15.4% | +9.1% | +12.3% | +2.3% | +0.4% |
| 2018-10-25 beat | 0.20 | 0.26 | +28.5% | +9.4% | +12.6% | -0.9% | -12.7% |
| 2018-07-26 beat | 0.17 | 0.25 | +47.3% | +9.2% | +11.4% | +2.4% | +14.5% |
| 2018-04-26 beat | 0.16 | 0.20 | +25.1% | +8.8% | +5.4% | +3.6% | +8.2% |
| 2018-02-06 beat | 0.10 | 0.13 | +19.6% | +13.1% | +9.8% | +2.2% | +15.3% |
| 2017-10-26 beat | 0.10 | 0.12 | +17.5% | +1.2% | -9.0% | -0.6% | +3.7% |
| 2017-07-27 beat | 0.10 | 0.12 | +20.4% | +0.5% | +2.6% | -1.5% | +2.3% |
| 2017-04-27 beat | 0.10 | 0.13 | +30.7% | +5.0% | -1.6% | +4.8% | +5.7% |
| 2017-02-07 beat | 0.13 | 0.14 | +9.0% | -19.3% | -18.9% | +2.4% | +1.4% |
| 2016-10-27 beat | 0.13 | 0.14 | +8.0% | -3.3% | -7.2% | +0.2% | +7.2% |
| 2016-07-27 beat | 0.10 | 0.12 | +15.0% | +3.7% | +4.3% | +0.2% | +3.5% |
| 2016-04-21 beat | 0.11 | 0.11 | +4.1% | -0.6% | +3.9% | +4.7% | +9.0% |
| 2016-02-03 beat | 0.10 | 0.14 | +31.2% | -6.4% | -20.2% | -18.0% | -13.4% |
| 2015-10-22 beat | 0.10 | 0.11 | +10.8% | +1.9% | -0.8% | -3.5% | -2.4% |
| 2015-07-23 beat | 0.08 | 0.09 | +6.9% | +1.3% | +0.9% | -1.1% | -9.2% |
| 2015-04-23 miss | 0.09 | 0.09 | -2.2% | +7.8% | +0.9% | -3.9% | -3.9% |
| 2015-02-05 beat | 0.07 | 0.09 | +29.7% | +0.9% | +9.0% | -0.4% | -2.8% |
| 2014-10-23 beat | 0.08 | 0.09 | +6.2% | -0.3% | -1.3% | +5.0% | +7.2% |
| 2014-07-24 beat | 0.08 | 0.08 | +6.7% | -4.5% | -2.0% | +2.1% | +6.8% |
| 2014-04-24 beat | 0.07 | 0.07 | +6.8% | -5.8% | -7.7% | +12.3% | +17.0% |
| 2014-02-06 beat | 0.06 | 0.07 | +8.3% | +0.1% | +1.8% | -0.9% | -0.3% |
| 2013-10-24 beat | 0.07 | 0.08 | +15.4% | +8.1% | +5.2% | -14.3% | -17.8% |
| 2013-07-25 beat | 0.06 | 0.07 | +8.3% | -0.5% | +16.0% | +5.5% | -2.5% |
| 2013-04-25 beat | 0.05 | 0.06 | +12.5% | +0.5% | +10.9% | +2.2% | +17.3% |
| 2013-02-06 beat | 0.05 | 0.06 | +31.5% | +0.0% | +0.1% | -1.6% | +1.5% |
| 2012-10-25 beat | 0.04 | 0.05 | +14.3% | +1.9% | -4.9% | +2.0% | +1.6% |
| 2012-07-26 beat | 0.05 | 0.06 | +11.4% | +6.5% | +12.0% | +2.4% | +2.7% |
| 2012-04-26 beat | 0.04 | 0.05 | +14.9% | +0.1% | +9.1% | -0.1% | -1.2% |
| 2012-02-08 beat | 0.04 | 0.04 | +6.7% | +0.1% | -7.1% | -4.8% | +0.9% |
| 2011-10-27 beat | 0.03 | 0.04 | +16.7% | -0.5% | +1.6% | +2.4% | +12.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.