SSD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.3% | +2.0% | 5.5% | 70% |
| Day 2 | -1.3% | -0.6% | 1.7% | 20% |
| Day 3 | +0.6% | +0.9% | 2.2% | 70% |
| 5-day | +1.7% | +1.9% | 4.6% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-27 beat | 2.69 | 3.00 | +11.2% | +2.5% | +2.6% | -0.9% | -6.7% |
| 2026-04-27 beat | 1.84 | 2.14 | +16.3% | +1.9% | +2.5% | -0.5% | +0.1% |
| 2026-02-09 beat | 1.26 | 1.33 | +5.3% | +1.6% | +5.0% | -1.2% | -13.3% |
| 2025-10-27 miss | 2.34 | 2.33 | -0.4% | +3.1% | +6.0% | -7.0% | -9.8% |
| 2025-07-28 beat | 2.26 | 2.47 | +9.2% | +8.4% | +10.6% | -0.6% | +5.7% |
| 2025-04-28 beat | 1.54 | 1.86 | +20.5% | +2.7% | +0.2% | -0.4% | +1.4% |
| 2025-02-10 beat | 1.26 | 1.33 | +5.1% | +5.7% | +1.5% | +2.7% | -8.8% |
| 2024-10-21 miss | 2.40 | 2.21 | -7.7% | -4.5% | -5.5% | +2.7% | +1.7% |
| 2024-07-22 miss | 2.44 | 2.33 | -4.3% | -4.0% | -0.8% | +7.0% | +0.6% |
| 2024-04-22 miss | 1.90 | 1.81 | -4.8% | -7.1% | -8.6% | +2.8% | +1.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.