STWD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.3% | +0.4% | 2.4% | 67% |
| Day 2 | +0.6% | +0.2% | 1.8% | 57% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | -0.1% | 3.6% | 47% |
| 5-day | +1.0% | +0.4% | 4.8% | 63% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-06 miss | 0.40 | 0.40 | -0.0% | -0.9% | -1.7% | +2.6% | +0.9% |
| 2026-05-08 miss | 0.42 | 0.39 | -8.1% | -1.1% | -1.7% | -4.0% | -3.3% |
| 2026-02-25 beat | 0.41 | 0.42 | +1.7% | +0.8% | +0.2% | +2.1% | -1.5% |
| 2025-11-10 miss | 0.44 | 0.40 | -9.0% | -1.0% | -2.9% | -1.5% | +3.7% |
| 2025-08-07 beat | 0.38 | 0.43 | +12.6% | +1.2% | +2.0% | +0.8% | +3.7% |
| 2025-05-09 beat | 0.45 | 0.45 | +0.4% | +1.4% | +0.7% | +5.7% | +6.4% |
| 2025-02-27 beat | 0.47 | 0.48 | +3.2% | +0.1% | +0.9% | -0.5% | -1.5% |
| 2024-11-06 beat | 0.47 | 0.48 | +2.0% | +1.7% | -1.4% | +0.2% | +3.5% |
| 2024-08-06 miss | 0.49 | 0.48 | -1.2% | +0.2% | +2.7% | +0.6% | +2.9% |
| 2024-05-08 beat | 0.46 | 0.59 | +26.9% | -0.4% | +2.7% | +3.7% | -5.7% |
| 2024-02-22 beat | 0.48 | 0.58 | +20.9% | +3.2% | +2.5% | +2.3% | +2.1% |
| 2023-11-08 beat | 0.47 | 0.49 | +3.6% | +0.1% | +4.0% | +5.2% | +4.2% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 0.48 | 0.49 | +1.3% | +0.8% | +0.2% | +0.1% | +1.7% |
| 2023-05-04 miss | 0.50 | 0.49 | -1.4% | -0.1% | -5.4% | +1.1% | +12.7% |
| 2023-03-01 miss | 0.50 | 0.50 | -0.8% | +0.5% | +0.6% | +1.9% | -10.8% |
| 2022-11-09 miss | 0.52 | 0.51 | -1.0% | -0.8% | -0.6% | +1.1% | -2.5% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 0.50 | 0.51 | +1.6% | +0.2% | +0.6% | +1.7% | -4.8% |
| 2022-05-04 beat | 0.51 | 0.76 | +47.9% | +0.6% | +3.0% | -7.0% | -2.8% |
| 2022-02-25 beat | 0.53 | 1.10 | +109.5% | +1.7% | +2.0% | -2.4% | +0.7% |
| 2021-11-09 beat | 0.51 | 0.52 | +1.5% | -0.6% | +0.3% | +0.0% | -4.7% |
| 2021-08-05 miss | 0.51 | 0.51 | -0.8% | -0.4% | +0.2% | -0.2% | -0.7% |
| 2021-05-06 beat | 0.49 | 0.50 | +2.1% | -0.6% | -1.1% | -2.6% | +4.0% |
| 2021-02-25 beat | 0.49 | 0.50 | +3.1% | +0.7% | -2.2% | +0.0% | +11.2% |
| 2020-11-05 beat | 0.47 | 0.50 | +7.1% | +0.7% | +2.2% | +10.0% | +28.3% |
| 2020-08-05 beat | 0.41 | 0.43 | +4.5% | +0.8% | +2.4% | +7.3% | +2.4% |
| 2020-05-04 beat | 0.49 | 0.55 | +13.3% | +2.1% | +3.3% | -0.8% | +19.0% |
| 2020-02-25 miss | 0.53 | 0.47 | -10.9% | -0.8% | -5.4% | -4.4% | -57.7% |
| 2019-11-08 miss | 0.52 | 0.52 | -0.9% | +0.0% | +0.2% | -1.1% | +2.5% |
| 2019-08-07 beat | 0.52 | 0.52 | +0.7% | -0.2% | +2.6% | -2.2% | +0.9% |
| 2019-05-08 miss | 0.52 | 0.28 | -46.1% | -2.1% | -2.5% | +0.5% | +1.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.