SU chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.4% | -1.2% | 3.9% | 30% |
| Day 2 | +0.8% | +0.7% | 2.1% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +0.6% | +0.9% | 1.6% | 70% |
| 5-day | +1.8% | +3.2% | 6.0% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 3.08 | 3.23 | +4.8% | +1.2% | -2.5% | +1.7% | +8.6% |
| 2026-05-05 miss | 1.93 | 1.93 | -0.1% | -3.1% | -7.7% | +2.7% | -3.3% |
| 2026-02-03 beat | 1.03 | 1.10 | +6.7% | +0.6% | -0.6% | +5.3% | +7.0% |
| 2025-11-04 beat | 1.14 | 1.48 | +29.6% | +2.5% | +4.3% | +7.3% | +7.4% |
| 2025-08-05 miss | 0.73 | 0.71 | -2.2% | +0.6% | -0.1% | -0.7% | +1.9% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 1.27 | 1.31 | +3.3% | +0.1% | -3.3% | +7.0% | +8.3% |
| 2025-02-05 beat | 1.14 | 1.25 | +9.4% | +0.5% | -0.6% | +3.9% | -7.2% |
| 2024-11-12 beat | 1.12 | 1.48 | +32.3% | +4.4% | +3.9% | +3.1% | -7.1% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 1.10 | 1.27 | +14.9% | +4.5% | +4.5% | +6.3% | -3.6% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | 1.28 | 1.41 | +10.3% | +0.0% | +0.3% | +0.9% | -2.7% |
| 2024-02-20 beat | 1.07 | 1.26 | +17.9% | +0.2% | +2.9% | +0.8% | +7.8% |
| 2023-11-08 beat | 1.34 | 1.52 | +13.8% | +3.6% | +3.6% | -0.4% | -6.9% |
| 2023-08-15 beat | 0.83 | 0.96 | +15.6% | -0.9% | -1.6% | +4.9% | +11.9% |
| 2023-05-08 beat | 1.27 | 1.36 | +7.3% | -2.0% | -1.1% | -5.1% | +2.0% |
| 2023-02-14 beat | 1.79 | 1.81 | +1.4% | -0.3% | -0.1% | -3.9% | -17.2% |
| 2022-11-02 miss | 1.98 | 1.88 | -4.8% | -2.4% | +3.5% | +1.4% | -12.0% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | 2.68 | 2.71 | +1.2% | -2.1% | -1.5% | +8.2% | +2.6% |
| 2022-05-09 beat | 1.68 | 1.92 | +14.2% | +1.9% | -1.4% | +11.7% | +21.7% |
| 2022-02-02 miss | 0.96 | 0.89 | -7.2% | -3.7% | -3.9% | -1.3% | +12.5% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 0.70 | 0.71 | +1.5% | +5.7% | +13.2% | +0.1% | -3.3% |
| 2021-07-28 miss | 0.48 | 0.48 | -1.0% | +1.0% | -2.9% | -1.8% | -3.6% |
| 2021-05-03 beat | 0.42 | 0.49 | +17.0% | +1.3% | -0.2% | +4.6% | +14.3% |
| 2021-02-03 beat | -0.22 | -0.09 | +59.0% | +1.5% | -1.8% | +3.9% | +28.3% |
| 2020-10-28 miss | -0.13 | -0.20 | -49.6% | -1.0% | +0.4% | +4.9% | +42.1% |
| 2020-07-22 miss | -0.62 | -0.98 | -58.2% | -1.2% | -4.2% | -5.6% | -7.9% |
| 2020-05-05 beat | -0.30 | -0.20 | +33.0% | -3.3% | -3.8% | -0.6% | +33.1% |
| 2020-02-05 miss | 0.61 | 0.51 | -15.8% | -0.8% | -3.5% | -0.6% | -31.9% |
| 2019-10-30 beat | 0.71 | 0.72 | +1.4% | -0.6% | -1.7% | +8.5% | +4.9% |
| 2019-07-24 miss | 0.90 | 0.80 | -10.7% | +1.5% | -3.0% | -3.0% | -5.9% |
| 2019-05-01 beat | 0.56 | 0.77 | +38.3% | +0.2% | -2.7% | +2.1% | -4.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.