SUP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -6.7% | -1.9% | 26.9% | 44% |
| Day 2 | -3.3% | -3.2% | 8.2% | 33% |
| Day 3 | -4.5% | -1.1% | 8.3% | 22% |
| 5-day | -8.6% | -5.8% | 32.3% | 44% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-12 | -0.34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025-05-12 miss | -0.53 | -0.68 | -29.0% | -65.2% | -72.1% | -33.8% | -45.4% |
| 2025-03-06 beat | -0.60 | -0.60 | +0.8% | +7.8% | +21.0% | +5.9% | -1.0% |
| 2024-11-07 miss | -0.15 | -0.44 | -192.9% | -9.4% | -5.8% | -6.1% | -10.0% |
| 2024-08-08 miss | -0.49 | -0.54 | -10.9% | +0.0% | +8.0% | +14.5% | +2.0% |
| 2024-05-02 miss | -0.85 | -1.24 | -45.5% | -4.3% | +6.2% | -5.1% | -9.3% |
| 2024-03-07 miss | -0.17 | -0.39 | -131.0% | -6.6% | -1.9% | -7.7% | +37.0% |
| 2023-11-01 miss | -0.28 | -0.41 | -46.1% | +7.2% | -4.3% | -1.5% | +11.3% |
| 2023-08-03 miss | -0.08 | -0.13 | -60.5% | +1.9% | +7.5% | -2.1% | -7.0% |
| 2023-05-04 miss | -0.01 | -0.25 | -2354.0% | -5.3% | -18.9% | -9.6% | -8.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.