SUP chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +4.3% | +6.2% | 22.0% | 66% |
| Day 2 | -1.0% | -1.8% | 6.8% | 38% |
| Day 3 | -1.0% | -0.8% | 7.6% | 41% |
| 5-day | +3.9% | +1.7% | 29.8% | 59% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-12 | -0.34 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025-05-12 miss | -0.53 | -0.68 | -29.0% | -65.2% | -72.1% | -33.8% | -45.4% |
| 2025-03-06 beat | -0.60 | -0.60 | +0.8% | +7.8% | +21.0% | +5.9% | -1.0% |
| 2024-11-07 miss | -0.15 | -0.44 | -192.9% | -9.4% | -5.8% | -6.1% | -10.0% |
| 2024-08-08 miss | -0.49 | -0.54 | -10.9% | +0.0% | +8.0% | +14.5% | +2.0% |
| 2024-05-02 miss | -0.85 | -1.24 | -45.5% | -4.3% | +6.2% | -5.1% | -9.3% |
| 2024-03-07 miss | -0.17 | -0.39 | -131.0% | -6.6% | -1.9% | -7.7% | +37.0% |
| 2023-11-01 miss | -0.28 | -0.41 | -46.1% | +7.2% | -4.3% | -1.5% | +11.3% |
| 2023-08-03 miss | -0.08 | -0.13 | -60.5% | +1.9% | +7.5% | -2.1% | -7.0% |
| 2023-05-04 miss | -0.01 | -0.25 | -2354.0% | -5.3% | -18.9% | -9.6% | -8.3% |
| 2023-03-02 beat | 0.08 | 0.21 | +162.5% | +2.5% | +7.2% | +6.9% | -16.7% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | -0.14 | 0.03 | +121.1% | -9.6% | -2.9% | -1.2% | +7.1% |
| 2022-08-04 beat | -0.09 | 0.10 | +207.8% | -1.5% | +1.3% | +8.9% | -1.7% |
| 2022-05-04 beat | -0.31 | 0.08 | +124.7% | +17.8% | +28.0% | -15.3% | -0.5% |
| 2022-03-03 beat | -0.41 | -0.40 | +2.4% | +4.7% | +14.7% | -2.2% | +0.7% |
| 2021-11-03 beat | -0.33 | -0.29 | +10.7% | -6.8% | -13.5% | -10.1% | -23.7% |
| 2021-08-04 beat | -0.39 | -0.13 | +67.7% | +0.4% | -7.8% | +4.0% | -12.3% |
| 2021-05-05 beat | -0.27 | 0.68 | +351.1% | +10.6% | +22.0% | +4.0% | +44.7% |
| 2021-03-05 miss | -0.11 | -0.97 | -781.8% | +8.0% | +14.3% | +3.5% | -10.1% |
| 2020-11-02 beat | -0.32 | 0.24 | +174.2% | +26.8% | +60.2% | +30.5% | +156.3% |
| 2020-08-05 beat | -1.46 | -1.46 | +0.1% | -3.7% | +3.7% | +6.0% | -6.6% |
| 2020-05-08 beat | -0.32 | -0.25 | +21.9% | -7.8% | +11.7% | -16.8% | +37.1% |
| 2020-02-28 beat | -0.29 | -0.08 | +72.4% | -9.4% | +2.0% | -21.2% | -51.9% |
| 2019-11-04 beat | -0.22 | -0.08 | +64.2% | +12.8% | +17.7% | +2.6% | -7.7% |
| 2019-08-08 beat | -0.11 | -0.06 | +48.0% | +3.3% | +20.8% | -15.9% | +0.0% |
| 2019-05-09 miss | -0.14 | -0.22 | -50.5% | -3.3% | -7.2% | +8.3% | -9.4% |
| 2019-03-07 beat | -0.22 | -0.16 | +26.1% | +14.7% | +2.0% | -12.8% | +6.2% |
| 2018-11-09 beat | -0.30 | -0.29 | +4.9% | -0.3% | -25.2% | +11.4% | -15.8% |
| 2018-08-08 beat | 0.14 | 0.25 | +85.2% | +4.9% | +14.4% | -0.2% | -15.2% |
| 2018-05-09 beat | 0.04 | 0.15 | +275.0% | +4.1% | +22.9% | +3.7% | +15.6% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.