SW chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -1.5% | -3.7% | 7.6% | 22% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +2.0% | 4.4% | 56% |
| Day 3 | -1.5% | -1.8% | 2.3% | 22% |
| 5-day | -1.8% | -0.8% | 11.9% | 44% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-29 miss | 0.42 | 0.35 | -16.9% | -6.6% | -5.0% | +0.4% | +0.8% |
| 2026-04-30 miss | 0.40 | 0.33 | -17.4% | -4.5% | -3.3% | +8.4% | +7.4% |
| 2026-02-11 miss | 0.50 | 0.28 | -43.0% | +6.4% | +9.9% | -1.0% | -20.9% |
| 2025-10-29 miss | 0.72 | 0.58 | -19.8% | -3.8% | -12.2% | -4.7% | -5.7% |
| 2025-07-30 miss | 0.59 | 0.51 | -13.9% | -5.4% | -1.7% | -10.0% | -2.0% |
| 2025-05-01 beat | 0.67 | 0.83 | +24.2% | -1.4% | -3.7% | +3.0% | +5.3% |
| 2025-02-12 miss | 0.59 | 0.42 | -28.2% | -5.0% | -5.1% | +6.2% | -13.1% |
| 2024-10-30 miss | 0.74 | 0.73 | -1.8% | +5.3% | +12.0% | +6.3% | +9.9% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | 0.71 | 0.74 | +4.6% | -7.4% | -4.1% | -12.9% | +5.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.