SWI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.0% | +0.8% | 7.2% | 55% |
| Day 2 | -0.8% | -0.9% | 3.4% | 35% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.1% | 2.7% | 50% |
| 5-day | +0.5% | +1.8% | 9.3% | 65% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-12 beat | 0.27 | 0.51 | +87.2% | +0.2% | +0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 0.25 | 0.27 | +9.2% | +2.2% | +5.3% | +4.7% | +3.7% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.23 | 0.26 | +14.3% | -2.0% | -2.8% | +11.0% | +10.3% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.22 | 0.29 | +32.5% | +2.5% | +4.6% | +1.3% | -0.5% |
| 2024-02-08 beat | 0.21 | 0.24 | +14.3% | +7.6% | +6.8% | -1.8% | -7.9% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 0.18 | 0.23 | +26.4% | +7.7% | +9.6% | +7.9% | +16.0% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 0.17 | 0.21 | +25.0% | +1.3% | +16.6% | -5.4% | -8.4% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 0.16 | 0.20 | +22.4% | +5.1% | +6.1% | -0.5% | +5.9% |
| 2023-02-09 miss | 0.21 | 0.19 | -7.3% | -4.1% | -2.4% | -14.1% | -16.9% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 0.20 | 0.20 | +0.8% | +0.7% | -7.4% | +17.1% | +5.5% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | 0.20 | 0.21 | +5.8% | +3.7% | -9.9% | +4.1% | -3.2% |
| 2022-05-05 beat | 0.22 | 0.24 | +9.4% | -2.8% | -6.6% | -6.1% | +3.8% |
| 2022-02-17 beat | 0.26 | 0.30 | +16.0% | +5.3% | +2.0% | -2.1% | -4.4% |
| 2021-10-28 beat | 0.27 | 0.37 | +36.2% | -9.9% | -9.4% | +1.7% | -13.5% |
| 2021-08-03 miss | 0.46 | 0.44 | -5.0% | -2.4% | +2.6% | -17.9% | -23.1% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 0.40 | 0.46 | +15.2% | -0.8% | -6.3% | -3.3% | -4.1% |
| 2021-02-25 beat | 0.49 | 0.52 | +6.0% | +5.9% | -0.8% | +2.6% | +10.5% |
| 2020-10-27 beat | 0.48 | 0.56 | +16.4% | +2.8% | -2.1% | +4.3% | +8.4% |
| 2020-08-06 beat | 0.41 | 0.50 | +22.9% | +4.7% | +12.3% | -9.5% | -9.7% |
| 2020-04-30 beat | 0.39 | 0.40 | +1.3% | +0.7% | +1.3% | -1.2% | +10.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.