SWI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +3.7% | +4.9% | 7.0% | 70% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.1% | 3.0% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.8% | +0.4% | 2.1% | 70% |
| 5-day | +5.6% | +7.0% | 9.0% | 90% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
Each report's EPS vs. the same ticker's report ~1 year earlier. Skips any comparison where the prior-year EPS was zero or negative -- a swing from a loss to a profit is real, but "growth %" on a negative base isn't a meaningful number.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-02-12 beat | 0.27 | 0.51 | +87.2% | +0.2% | +0.2% | -0.2% | -0.2% |
| 2024-10-31 beat | 0.25 | 0.27 | +9.2% | +2.2% | +5.3% | +4.7% | +3.7% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | 0.23 | 0.26 | +14.3% | -2.0% | -2.8% | +11.0% | +10.3% |
| 2024-05-02 beat | 0.22 | 0.29 | +32.5% | +2.5% | +4.6% | +1.3% | -0.5% |
| 2024-02-08 beat | 0.21 | 0.24 | +14.3% | +7.6% | +6.8% | -1.8% | -7.9% |
| 2023-11-02 beat | 0.18 | 0.23 | +26.4% | +7.7% | +9.6% | +7.9% | +16.0% |
| 2023-08-03 beat | 0.17 | 0.21 | +25.0% | +1.3% | +16.6% | -5.4% | -8.4% |
| 2023-04-27 beat | 0.16 | 0.20 | +22.4% | +5.1% | +6.1% | -0.5% | +5.9% |
| 2023-02-09 miss | 0.21 | 0.19 | -7.3% | -4.1% | -2.4% | -14.1% | -16.9% |
| 2022-11-03 beat | 0.20 | 0.20 | +0.8% | +0.7% | -7.4% | +17.1% | +5.5% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
No sign-up needed — your conversation stays on this browser so you can come back to it.
Follow the callers you actually want to hear from, agree or disagree with a call, and Apes Alpha starts building your feed around it.
Continue with Google
Continue with email
Loading…