SWTX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.1% | +2.1% | 5.6% | 56% |
| Day 2 | -0.9% | -2.2% | 5.1% | 44% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.0% | 3.8% | 44% |
| 5-day | -0.5% | +0.0% | 10.5% | 44% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-07 | -0.97 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 2025-05-09 miss | -0.81 | -1.11 | -37.0% | -0.2% | -0.3% | +0.3% | +1.4% |
| 2025-02-20 miss | -0.71 | -1.04 | -46.0% | +11.3% | +7.5% | -10.9% | -16.8% |
| 2024-11-12 beat | -0.76 | -0.72 | +5.3% | -11.9% | -1.3% | +14.6% | +16.9% |
| 2024-08-07 beat | -1.06 | -0.54 | +49.3% | +21.7% | +2.1% | +4.6% | +14.2% |
| 2024-05-02 miss | -1.06 | -1.18 | -11.5% | +1.4% | -7.5% | -0.9% | -9.4% |
| 2024-02-27 miss | -1.10 | -1.45 | -31.6% | -0.7% | +7.4% | -3.3% | -3.8% |
| 2023-11-02 miss | -1.16 | -1.27 | -9.7% | +4.1% | +5.6% | -22.7% | +25.4% |
| 2023-08-02 miss | -1.08 | -1.25 | -16.0% | +3.6% | -6.9% | -2.8% | +1.4% |
| 2023-05-03 miss | -1.10 | -1.18 | -7.5% | +0.1% | +3.6% | +8.0% | +13.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.