T chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.9% | +1.1% | 4.7% | 63% |
| Day 2 | -0.1% | -0.1% | 2.0% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.2% | +0.2% | 2.0% | 53% |
| 5-day | +1.7% | +1.9% | 6.3% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 beat | 0.59 | 0.65 | +10.5% | +5.0% | +3.5% | +3.9% | +9.2% |
| 2026-04-22 beat | 0.55 | 0.57 | +3.4% | -2.8% | +0.4% | -0.9% | -2.5% |
| 2026-01-28 beat | 0.47 | 0.52 | +11.6% | +1.8% | +4.7% | +13.1% | +16.4% |
| 2025-10-22 beat | 0.54 | 0.54 | +0.5% | -4.3% | -1.9% | -1.6% | -0.1% |
| 2025-07-23 beat | 0.53 | 0.54 | +1.9% | -4.1% | +1.2% | -0.9% | +6.1% |
| 2025-04-23 miss | 0.51 | 0.51 | -0.9% | -1.6% | +0.9% | +1.9% | +0.1% |
| 2025-01-27 beat | 0.51 | 0.54 | +6.8% | +3.4% | +6.2% | +0.5% | +10.1% |
| 2024-10-23 beat | 0.57 | 0.60 | +5.1% | -1.2% | +4.6% | -2.1% | +2.2% |
| 2024-07-24 miss | 0.57 | 0.57 | -0.6% | +3.9% | +5.2% | +0.5% | +1.8% |
| 2024-04-24 beat | 0.53 | 0.55 | +3.7% | +2.4% | +1.9% | +0.7% | +3.9% |
| 2024-01-24 miss | 0.56 | 0.54 | -3.2% | -3.7% | -3.0% | +6.1% | +0.7% |
| 2023-10-19 beat | 0.62 | 0.64 | +3.1% | +7.3% | +6.6% | -0.9% | +4.2% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | 0.60 | 0.63 | +4.6% | +0.7% | +0.6% | -3.6% | -5.0% |
| 2023-04-20 beat | 0.59 | 0.60 | +2.1% | -5.0% | -10.4% | -0.2% | -7.6% |
| 2023-01-25 beat | 0.57 | 0.61 | +6.7% | +3.1% | +6.6% | -1.2% | -5.8% |
| 2022-10-20 beat | 0.61 | 0.68 | +10.6% | +4.3% | +7.7% | +7.7% | +13.3% |
| 2022-07-21 beat | 0.61 | 0.65 | +6.9% | -7.0% | -7.6% | -1.8% | -2.6% |
| 2022-04-21 beat | 0.75 | 0.77 | +2.0% | +1.3% | +4.0% | -3.9% | +0.9% |
| 2022-01-26 beat | 0.75 | 0.78 | +3.3% | +1.9% | -8.4% | +1.2% | -1.4% |
| 2021-10-21 beat | 0.79 | 0.87 | +10.3% | +0.8% | -0.6% | -0.8% | -6.3% |
| 2021-07-22 beat | 0.80 | 0.89 | +11.9% | +1.3% | +0.4% | +1.0% | -1.6% |
| 2021-04-22 beat | 0.78 | 0.86 | +10.6% | +3.9% | +4.2% | -0.1% | -4.3% |
| 2021-01-27 beat | 0.73 | 0.75 | +2.6% | -2.4% | -2.1% | -2.2% | -4.3% |
| 2020-10-22 miss | 0.76 | 0.76 | -0.1% | +4.2% | +5.8% | -5.4% | +0.1% |
| 2020-07-23 beat | 0.79 | 0.83 | +4.8% | +0.0% | -0.9% | -1.1% | -0.7% |
| 2020-04-22 miss | 0.85 | 0.84 | -1.4% | +3.4% | -1.3% | +6.7% | +1.0% |
| 2020-01-29 beat | 0.87 | 0.89 | +2.4% | -0.2% | -4.0% | +2.1% | -4.9% |
| 2019-10-28 beat | 0.92 | 0.94 | +1.7% | +3.8% | +4.3% | +1.0% | -2.8% |
| 2019-07-24 miss | 0.89 | 0.89 | -0.1% | +0.3% | +3.6% | +2.4% | +6.5% |
| 2019-04-24 beat | 0.85 | 0.86 | +0.6% | -3.2% | -4.1% | +0.0% | +4.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.