TAL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +2.4% | +4.2% | 10.6% | 55% |
| Day 2 | +1.9% | +0.9% | 7.2% | 60% |
| Day 3 | -0.4% | +0.2% | 3.8% | 55% |
| 5-day | +5.0% | +2.2% | 18.1% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 0.29 | 0.75 | +161.6% | +14.5% | +13.3% | +1.0% | -3.2% |
| 2026-04-23 beat | 0.16 | 0.45 | +186.4% | -7.7% | -9.3% | +1.9% | -10.4% |
| 2026-01-29 beat | 0.08 | 0.25 | +229.2% | +10.2% | +18.0% | -7.8% | -16.9% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 0.16 | 0.24 | +49.4% | +11.1% | +7.3% | -6.9% | -13.9% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 0.03 | 0.07 | +113.4% | +13.0% | +8.4% | +5.1% | -2.9% |
| 2025-04-24 miss | 0.09 | 0.01 | -89.3% | -14.8% | -18.7% | -2.2% | +23.1% |
| 2025-01-23 beat | 0.05 | 0.06 | +14.0% | +17.7% | +21.2% | +13.4% | +20.7% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 0.10 | 0.12 | +26.0% | +4.5% | +2.8% | +5.9% | -7.3% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | -0.01 | 0.05 | +612.3% | -7.2% | -9.4% | +0.2% | -11.5% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 0.02 | 0.08 | +303.2% | +3.3% | +8.9% | -4.1% | -14.4% |
| 2024-01-25 miss | 0.02 | — | -100.0% | -0.9% | +5.7% | -8.4% | +20.9% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 0.08 | 0.10 | +29.0% | -2.1% | -5.2% | -11.4% | +12.4% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | -0.03 | -0.03 | +6.0% | -3.2% | -2.6% | +19.0% | +4.4% |
| 2023-04-27 miss | — | -0.02 | -605.0% | +0.7% | -5.9% | -6.6% | +3.9% |
| 2023-01-19 miss | 0.02 | -0.04 | -294.6% | -4.6% | -2.3% | -2.7% | -7.8% |
| 2022-10-28 beat | 0.01 | 0.04 | +532.9% | +7.8% | +10.1% | +24.5% | +32.0% |
| 2022-10-27 miss | 0.05 | -0.07 | -247.2% | +7.8% | +10.1% | +24.5% | +32.0% |
| 2022-07-29 beat | -0.05 | -0.03 | +42.8% | -7.3% | -7.7% | -5.5% | +33.5% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | — | 0.09 | +4861.9% | -7.3% | -7.7% | -5.5% | +33.5% |
| 2022-04-29 miss | 0.15 | -0.17 | -215.0% | +6.9% | +11.9% | +7.7% | +20.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.