TAL chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +1.8% | +1.9% | 8.5% | 53% |
| Day 2 | +1.1% | +0.8% | 5.1% | 58% |
| Day 3 | -0.7% | +0.0% | 3.8% | 48% |
| 5-day | +2.4% | +0.6% | 13.5% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 0.29 | 0.75 | +161.6% | +14.5% | +13.3% | +1.0% | -3.2% |
| 2026-04-23 beat | 0.16 | 0.45 | +186.4% | -7.7% | -9.3% | +1.9% | -10.4% |
| 2026-01-29 beat | 0.08 | 0.25 | +229.2% | +10.2% | +18.0% | -7.8% | -16.9% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 0.16 | 0.24 | +49.4% | +11.1% | +7.3% | -6.9% | -13.9% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 0.03 | 0.07 | +113.4% | +13.0% | +8.4% | +5.1% | -2.9% |
| 2025-04-24 miss | 0.09 | 0.01 | -89.3% | -14.8% | -18.7% | -2.2% | +23.1% |
| 2025-01-23 beat | 0.05 | 0.06 | +14.0% | +17.7% | +21.2% | +13.4% | +20.7% |
| 2024-10-24 beat | 0.10 | 0.12 | +26.0% | +4.5% | +2.8% | +5.9% | -7.3% |
| 2024-08-01 beat | -0.01 | 0.05 | +612.3% | -7.2% | -9.4% | +0.2% | -11.5% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 0.02 | 0.08 | +303.2% | +3.3% | +8.9% | -4.1% | -14.4% |
| 2024-01-25 miss | 0.02 | — | -100.0% | -0.9% | +5.7% | -8.4% | +20.9% |
| 2023-10-26 beat | 0.08 | 0.10 | +29.0% | -2.1% | -5.2% | -11.4% | +12.4% |
| 2023-07-27 beat | -0.03 | -0.03 | +6.0% | -3.2% | -2.6% | +19.0% | +4.4% |
| 2023-04-27 miss | — | -0.02 | -605.0% | +0.7% | -5.9% | -6.6% | +3.9% |
| 2023-01-19 miss | 0.02 | -0.04 | -294.6% | -4.6% | -2.3% | -2.7% | -7.8% |
| 2022-10-28 beat | 0.01 | 0.04 | +532.9% | +7.8% | +10.1% | +24.5% | +32.0% |
| 2022-10-27 miss | 0.05 | -0.07 | -247.2% | +7.8% | +10.1% | +24.5% | +32.0% |
| 2022-07-29 beat | -0.05 | -0.03 | +42.8% | -7.3% | -7.7% | -5.5% | +33.5% |
| 2022-07-28 beat | — | 0.09 | +4861.9% | -7.3% | -7.7% | -5.5% | +33.5% |
| 2022-04-29 miss | 0.15 | -0.17 | -215.0% | +6.9% | +11.9% | +7.7% | +20.9% |
| 2022-02-21 miss | 0.07 | -0.09 | -229.5% | +5.1% | +9.5% | -26.6% | -9.8% |
| 2021-04-22 beat | -0.20 | -0.14 | +31.5% | +4.8% | -2.2% | -4.9% | -30.4% |
| 2021-01-21 miss | 0.08 | 0.02 | -73.7% | +0.5% | +15.2% | -3.7% | +8.7% |
| 2020-10-22 miss | 0.11 | 0.08 | -27.9% | -2.6% | -11.5% | +1.0% | +12.2% |
| 2020-07-30 beat | 0.07 | 0.18 | +156.4% | -0.4% | -0.6% | +4.2% | -1.4% |
| 2020-04-28 miss | 0.08 | -0.10 | -229.2% | +5.3% | +0.9% | +0.5% | +7.1% |
| 2020-01-21 miss | 0.17 | 0.09 | -47.5% | -8.4% | -3.8% | -3.8% | +12.5% |
| 2019-10-24 miss | 0.15 | 0.02 | -86.4% | +8.1% | +13.0% | +0.2% | +1.7% |
| 2019-07-25 miss | 0.15 | 0.03 | -79.7% | -8.7% | -11.4% | -2.6% | +2.1% |
| 2019-04-25 beat | 0.15 | 0.20 | +32.0% | +0.6% | +5.1% | +8.0% | -6.1% |
| 2019-01-24 beat | 0.10 | 0.24 | +130.6% | -0.8% | -4.5% | +4.1% | +19.2% |
| 2018-10-25 beat | 0.14 | 0.16 | +16.3% | +5.1% | +14.2% | +16.2% | +9.5% |
| 2018-07-26 beat | 0.10 | 0.14 | +38.9% | -16.3% | -12.1% | -8.1% | -17.1% |
| 2018-04-26 beat | 0.11 | 0.14 | +26.6% | +3.0% | +3.5% | +1.5% | +17.2% |
| 2018-01-25 beat | 0.07 | 0.09 | +28.7% | +12.0% | +17.7% | -4.1% | +9.7% |
| 2017-10-26 miss | 0.13 | 0.12 | -8.2% | -13.3% | -14.3% | -1.2% | -0.7% |
| 2017-07-27 beat | 0.06 | 0.07 | +12.0% | +3.9% | -0.5% | +6.4% | +13.4% |
| 2017-04-27 beat | 0.07 | 0.08 | +11.8% | +3.8% | +2.8% | +1.6% | -0.1% |
| 2017-01-19 beat | 0.04 | 0.04 | +17.1% | +3.6% | +7.4% | -0.3% | +3.9% |
| 2016-10-27 beat | 0.09 | 0.12 | +32.7% | +5.4% | +4.7% | -6.0% | -5.5% |
| 2016-07-26 miss | 0.05 | 0.04 | -19.4% | +2.0% | -0.8% | -8.4% | -3.9% |
| 2016-04-28 beat | 0.04 | 0.04 | +1.1% | -0.7% | +3.5% | -5.4% | -3.3% |
| 2016-01-27 beat | 0.02 | 0.03 | +35.8% | +3.4% | +2.6% | +9.7% | +12.6% |
| 2015-10-22 beat | 0.07 | 0.13 | +92.6% | +3.7% | -1.9% | +6.3% | +16.8% |
| 2015-07-23 beat | 0.04 | 0.05 | +12.0% | +1.5% | +1.7% | -3.6% | -14.9% |
| 2015-04-28 beat | 0.04 | 0.04 | +8.5% | +5.7% | +6.2% | -3.7% | -5.9% |
| 2015-01-22 beat | 0.03 | 0.03 | +8.6% | +1.8% | +6.7% | +7.4% | +5.3% |
| 2014-10-21 beat | 0.06 | 0.07 | +12.5% | -5.0% | -7.9% | +3.2% | +2.9% |
| 2014-07-21 beat | 0.03 | 0.04 | +29.4% | -1.9% | -1.5% | +1.0% | +25.8% |
| 2014-04-22 beat | 0.03 | 0.04 | +44.0% | +2.0% | -0.5% | -2.4% | +2.1% |
| 2014-01-22 beat | 0.02 | 0.03 | +63.7% | +4.7% | +2.8% | -6.9% | -2.8% |
| 2013-10-22 beat | 0.05 | 0.05 | +8.8% | +8.1% | +10.4% | +9.3% | +9.2% |
| 2013-07-22 beat | 0.01 | 0.02 | +79.4% | +2.6% | +2.1% | +5.9% | +14.0% |
| 2013-04-23 beat | 0.02 | 0.02 | +15.8% | +0.7% | +5.8% | -1.6% | +4.0% |
| 2013-01-22 beat | 0.01 | 0.02 | +135.4% | -0.4% | -4.9% | -3.2% | +4.6% |
| 2012-10-23 beat | 0.03 | 0.04 | +46.0% | +0.8% | +3.3% | -0.5% | +2.5% |
| 2012-07-24 beat | 0.01 | 0.02 | +80.1% | -1.5% | -1.0% | -3.3% | +8.1% |
| 2012-04-25 beat | 0.02 | 0.02 | +33.3% | +2.6% | -0.1% | -1.5% | -7.0% |
| 2012-01-19 beat | 0.01 | 0.01 | +20.0% | -0.2% | -1.8% | +0.9% | +2.9% |
| 2011-10-25 beat | 0.02 | 0.03 | +28.3% | +1.6% | -1.4% | +2.8% | -0.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.