TCBI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.5% | +0.6% | 4.6% | 55% |
| Day 2 | -0.5% | +0.1% | 2.5% | 50% |
| Day 3 | +0.3% | +0.6% | 1.3% | 60% |
| 5-day | -0.9% | -0.7% | 3.9% | 45% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 beat | 1.86 | 1.88 | +1.3% | -4.2% | -4.1% | +0.1% | -0.4% |
| 2026-04-23 beat | 1.41 | 1.58 | +12.4% | +0.2% | +1.0% | -2.8% | -4.0% |
| 2026-01-22 beat | 1.77 | 2.08 | +17.8% | +1.2% | +0.0% | -1.2% | -4.6% |
| 2025-10-22 beat | 1.77 | 2.18 | +22.9% | +1.9% | +3.0% | -2.8% | +4.1% |
| 2025-07-17 beat | 1.29 | 1.63 | +26.6% | +1.6% | +4.5% | -3.4% | -6.2% |
| 2025-04-17 miss | 0.95 | 0.92 | -3.4% | -4.1% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +14.5% |
| 2025-01-23 beat | 1.08 | 1.43 | +32.1% | -0.8% | -4.5% | +3.1% | +2.2% |
| 2024-10-17 miss | 0.95 | -1.42 | -249.3% | +0.1% | +2.7% | -3.2% | +8.1% |
| 2024-07-18 miss | 0.86 | 0.80 | -7.0% | -2.7% | -6.6% | +0.2% | -6.7% |
| 2024-04-18 miss | 0.61 | 0.46 | -24.3% | -1.6% | +0.1% | +4.7% | +11.4% |
| 2024-01-18 miss | 0.72 | 0.65 | -10.2% | +0.0% | +2.4% | -0.7% | -5.7% |
| 2023-10-19 beat | 1.07 | 1.18 | +10.5% | -1.1% | -3.5% | -0.6% | -2.1% |
| 2023-07-20 beat | 0.95 | 1.33 | +39.8% | +4.4% | +6.5% | -4.5% | -8.8% |
| 2023-04-20 miss | 0.87 | 0.70 | -19.7% | +1.0% | +2.5% | -3.1% | -6.2% |
| 2023-01-18 miss | 0.99 | 0.87 | -12.1% | +2.3% | +5.6% | -0.2% | +5.0% |
| 2022-10-19 miss | 1.01 | 0.74 | -27.1% | -3.2% | -11.6% | +3.1% | +0.4% |
| 2022-07-21 miss | 0.71 | 0.59 | -17.1% | +0.2% | -0.9% | +2.7% | +14.1% |
| 2022-04-20 miss | 0.72 | 0.69 | -4.8% | -5.6% | -5.1% | -2.5% | -5.8% |
| 2022-01-20 beat | 0.91 | 1.19 | +31.0% | +0.0% | +2.4% | -1.8% | +3.0% |
| 2021-10-20 miss | 1.09 | 0.76 | -30.6% | -12.2% | -5.4% | +2.3% | -2.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.