TCBI chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.0% | +0.6% | 5.3% | 55% |
| Day 2 | +0.6% | +0.3% | 2.7% | 53% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | +0.0% | 1.6% | 45% |
| 5-day | +1.1% | +1.1% | 7.1% | 57% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 beat | 1.86 | 1.88 | +1.3% | -4.2% | -4.1% | +0.1% | -0.4% |
| 2026-04-23 beat | 1.41 | 1.58 | +12.4% | +0.2% | +1.0% | -2.8% | -4.0% |
| 2026-01-22 beat | 1.77 | 2.08 | +17.8% | +1.2% | +0.0% | -1.2% | -4.6% |
| 2025-10-22 beat | 1.77 | 2.18 | +22.9% | +1.9% | +3.0% | -2.8% | +4.1% |
| 2025-07-17 beat | 1.29 | 1.63 | +26.6% | +1.6% | +4.5% | -3.4% | -6.2% |
| 2025-04-17 miss | 0.95 | 0.92 | -3.4% | -4.1% | +1.4% | +2.8% | +14.5% |
| 2025-01-23 beat | 1.08 | 1.43 | +32.1% | -0.8% | -4.5% | +3.1% | +2.2% |
| 2024-10-17 miss | 0.95 | -1.42 | -249.3% | +0.1% | +2.7% | -3.2% | +8.1% |
| 2024-07-18 miss | 0.86 | 0.80 | -7.0% | -2.7% | -6.6% | +0.2% | -6.7% |
| 2024-04-18 miss | 0.61 | 0.46 | -24.3% | -1.6% | +0.1% | +4.7% | +11.4% |
| 2024-01-18 miss | 0.72 | 0.65 | -10.2% | +0.0% | +2.4% | -0.7% | -5.7% |
| 2023-10-19 beat | 1.07 | 1.18 | +10.5% | -1.1% | -3.5% | -0.6% | -2.1% |
| 2023-07-20 beat | 0.95 | 1.33 | +39.8% | +4.4% | +6.5% | -4.5% | -8.8% |
| 2023-04-20 miss | 0.87 | 0.70 | -19.7% | +1.0% | +2.5% | -3.1% | -6.2% |
| 2023-01-18 miss | 0.99 | 0.87 | -12.1% | +2.3% | +5.6% | -0.2% | +5.0% |
| 2022-10-19 miss | 1.01 | 0.74 | -27.1% | -3.2% | -11.6% | +3.1% | +0.4% |
| 2022-07-21 miss | 0.71 | 0.59 | -17.1% | +0.2% | -0.9% | +2.7% | +14.1% |
| 2022-04-20 miss | 0.72 | 0.69 | -4.8% | -5.6% | -5.1% | -2.5% | -5.8% |
| 2022-01-20 beat | 0.91 | 1.19 | +31.0% | +0.0% | +2.4% | -1.8% | +3.0% |
| 2021-10-20 miss | 1.09 | 0.76 | -30.6% | -12.2% | -5.4% | +2.3% | -2.9% |
| 2021-07-21 beat | 1.21 | 1.31 | +8.3% | +3.2% | -1.2% | +5.2% | +5.1% |
| 2021-04-21 beat | 1.09 | 1.33 | +21.7% | -6.1% | -4.1% | +8.4% | +8.7% |
| 2021-01-21 beat | 1.14 | 1.14 | +0.3% | -3.6% | -0.3% | -9.3% | +17.8% |
| 2020-10-21 beat | 0.59 | 1.32 | +124.1% | +2.3% | +6.1% | +7.8% | +32.6% |
| 2020-07-22 beat | 0.26 | 0.31 | +19.7% | -0.2% | +9.6% | +10.2% | +3.4% |
| 2020-04-22 beat | 1.06 | 1.07 | +0.9% | +1.0% | +5.5% | +19.7% | +22.9% |
| 2020-01-22 beat | 1.53 | 1.54 | +0.5% | -1.8% | +0.6% | +3.2% | +2.0% |
| 2019-10-16 beat | 1.51 | 1.70 | +12.3% | +9.9% | +2.6% | -0.8% | +4.2% |
| 2019-07-17 miss | 1.52 | 1.50 | -1.4% | -5.0% | -3.5% | +7.0% | -2.2% |
| 2019-04-17 beat | 1.36 | 1.60 | +17.4% | +2.5% | +7.1% | +2.5% | -3.1% |
| 2019-01-23 miss | 1.59 | 1.38 | -13.1% | +0.0% | -1.1% | +1.0% | +6.8% |
| 2018-10-17 miss | 1.69 | 1.65 | -2.2% | -11.8% | -12.8% | -4.2% | -10.5% |
| 2018-07-18 miss | 1.39 | 1.38 | -0.6% | +0.2% | +2.0% | -1.8% | -1.9% |
| 2018-04-18 beat | 1.35 | 1.38 | +2.4% | +5.5% | +7.7% | +0.7% | +2.4% |
| 2018-01-24 beat | 1.16 | 1.19 | +3.0% | +4.0% | +0.7% | -3.9% | -5.6% |
| 2017-10-18 beat | 1.11 | 1.12 | +1.0% | +1.4% | +3.3% | +0.6% | -6.0% |
| 2017-07-19 beat | 0.95 | 1.04 | +9.8% | +5.9% | +4.6% | -3.1% | -10.9% |
| 2017-04-19 miss | 0.89 | 0.80 | -9.6% | -10.2% | -6.2% | +3.9% | +2.1% |
| 2017-01-25 beat | 0.89 | 0.96 | +7.9% | +8.2% | +6.8% | -1.5% | +7.2% |
| 2016-10-20 beat | 0.85 | 0.87 | +2.0% | +0.8% | +3.9% | -1.0% | +23.4% |
| 2016-07-20 beat | 0.76 | 0.78 | +2.9% | -0.2% | -2.5% | +2.1% | +3.6% |
| 2016-04-20 miss | 0.67 | 0.49 | -26.4% | +0.0% | +0.9% | +3.2% | +6.1% |
| 2016-01-20 miss | 0.72 | 0.70 | -2.8% | -12.9% | -10.3% | +7.8% | +1.9% |
| 2015-10-21 beat | 0.74 | 0.75 | +1.5% | +1.2% | +2.4% | +5.4% | +11.4% |
| 2015-07-22 beat | 0.76 | 0.76 | +0.4% | -1.9% | -1.9% | -0.3% | -13.6% |
| 2015-04-22 beat | 0.69 | 0.70 | +0.7% | -1.3% | +2.1% | +0.8% | +4.6% |
| 2015-01-21 beat | 0.77 | 0.78 | +1.3% | -3.2% | -4.4% | -2.5% | +8.2% |
| 2014-10-22 beat | 0.76 | 0.78 | +2.6% | +7.6% | +1.9% | +6.0% | -0.2% |
| 2014-07-23 beat | 0.68 | 0.71 | +3.4% | -0.7% | +2.6% | -3.9% | +0.2% |
| 2014-04-23 miss | 0.73 | 0.60 | -18.7% | -12.5% | -12.1% | -2.0% | -8.1% |
| 2014-01-22 miss | 0.79 | 0.67 | -15.8% | -7.5% | -4.5% | -1.9% | -1.2% |
| 2013-10-23 miss | 0.77 | 0.74 | -3.6% | +5.9% | +12.4% | -3.2% | +2.5% |
| 2013-07-24 miss | 0.80 | 0.52 | -34.7% | -2.6% | +2.6% | -4.7% | -3.7% |
| 2013-04-24 miss | 0.83 | 0.80 | -3.5% | -8.4% | -2.4% | +5.6% | +10.1% |
| 2013-01-23 miss | 0.82 | 0.82 | -0.6% | -0.3% | -8.8% | -1.5% | -0.7% |
| 2012-10-24 beat | 0.78 | 0.80 | +3.1% | +1.5% | -1.3% | +1.4% | -4.2% |
| 2012-07-25 beat | 0.70 | 0.76 | +8.3% | +0.8% | +0.4% | +3.0% | +6.7% |
| 2012-04-25 beat | 0.62 | 0.70 | +13.4% | +2.7% | +7.0% | -0.1% | +3.3% |
| 2012-01-25 beat | 0.60 | 0.67 | +11.2% | +1.2% | -2.4% | +4.4% | +5.2% |
| 2011-10-19 beat | 0.49 | 0.56 | +13.5% | -2.8% | -2.5% | +8.8% | +6.2% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.