TD chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.4% | -0.1% | 2.4% | 47% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.2% | 1.1% | 57% |
| Day 3 | -0.2% | -0.3% | 1.2% | 33% |
| 5-day | -0.2% | -0.5% | 3.7% | 42% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 beat | 2.47 | 2.77 | +12.1% | +0.6% | +1.4% | +1.8% | — |
| 2026-05-28 beat | 2.26 | 2.38 | +5.3% | +0.2% | +1.0% | +0.4% | +6.2% |
| 2026-02-26 beat | 2.26 | 2.44 | +8.0% | +0.7% | +1.6% | -1.7% | -7.5% |
| 2025-12-04 miss | 1.94 | 1.82 | -6.0% | +0.4% | +2.0% | +6.7% | +9.9% |
| 2025-08-28 beat | 2.02 | 2.20 | +8.8% | +3.1% | -4.3% | +2.2% | +9.5% |
| 2025-05-22 beat | 1.79 | 1.97 | +10.4% | +1.1% | +3.3% | +3.1% | +7.2% |
| 2025-02-27 beat | 1.98 | 2.02 | +1.9% | -1.2% | +0.1% | -1.0% | +0.8% |
| 2024-12-05 miss | 2.52 | 1.97 | -21.8% | -3.4% | -6.7% | +1.3% | +3.5% |
| 2024-08-22 miss | 2.08 | 2.05 | -1.2% | -1.4% | -2.2% | +1.7% | +9.3% |
| 2024-05-23 beat | 1.84 | 2.04 | +10.7% | +1.4% | -1.9% | +1.7% | -0.6% |
| 2024-02-29 beat | 1.93 | 2.00 | +3.9% | +1.8% | +1.0% | +1.3% | +0.4% |
| 2023-11-30 miss | 1.84 | 1.83 | -0.7% | +0.0% | -0.5% | -2.7% | +5.4% |
| 2023-08-24 beat | 1.98 | 1.99 | +0.5% | -1.2% | -3.4% | +2.7% | +3.1% |
| 2023-05-25 miss | 2.08 | 1.94 | -7.0% | -1.2% | -4.4% | +3.0% | +6.5% |
| 2023-03-02 beat | 2.20 | 2.23 | +1.5% | -1.4% | -2.3% | -4.9% | -7.9% |
| 2022-12-01 beat | 2.05 | 2.18 | +6.2% | +1.1% | +2.4% | -3.2% | -6.2% |
| 2022-08-25 beat | 2.04 | 2.09 | +2.4% | +1.7% | +1.2% | -3.5% | -7.2% |
| 2022-05-26 beat | 1.94 | 2.02 | +4.0% | +0.7% | +1.9% | +1.8% | -11.8% |
| 2022-03-03 beat | 2.04 | 2.08 | +2.1% | -1.4% | -3.5% | -0.7% | +2.6% |
| 2021-12-02 beat | 1.96 | 2.09 | +6.7% | +1.8% | +5.0% | -0.4% | +3.2% |
| 2021-08-26 beat | 1.92 | 1.96 | +2.1% | +0.0% | -2.9% | -0.5% | +1.5% |
| 2021-05-27 beat | 1.76 | 2.04 | +16.2% | +0.6% | -2.0% | +1.3% | -2.1% |
| 2021-02-25 beat | 1.47 | 1.83 | +24.2% | -0.3% | -2.5% | -0.1% | +6.3% |
| 2020-12-03 beat | 1.28 | 1.60 | +25.3% | +0.9% | +0.3% | +3.4% | +3.8% |
| 2020-08-27 beat | 1.23 | 1.25 | +1.7% | +0.6% | +0.2% | -3.3% | -7.8% |
| 2020-05-28 miss | 0.89 | 0.85 | -4.0% | +0.4% | -3.8% | +5.9% | -0.4% |
| 2020-02-27 miss | 1.69 | 1.66 | -1.9% | -3.3% | -5.4% | -3.6% | -22.1% |
| 2019-12-05 miss | 1.74 | 1.59 | -8.6% | -1.1% | -3.3% | +0.5% | +1.7% |
| 2019-08-29 miss | 1.80 | 1.79 | -0.7% | +0.3% | +0.5% | +2.2% | +7.7% |
| 2019-05-23 beat | 1.68 | 1.75 | +4.2% | -0.3% | +1.9% | -2.4% | +4.1% |
| 2019-02-28 miss | 1.72 | 1.57 | -8.7% | -3.2% | -2.3% | -3.5% | -5.3% |
| 2018-11-29 beat | 1.62 | 1.63 | +0.3% | +0.3% | -0.4% | -5.0% | -9.0% |
| 2018-08-30 beat | 1.63 | 1.66 | +1.6% | -0.6% | -1.0% | -0.6% | +0.6% |
| 2018-05-24 beat | 1.50 | 1.62 | +8.1% | +0.6% | -0.1% | -1.5% | -2.6% |
| 2018-03-01 beat | 1.46 | 1.56 | +6.5% | +0.8% | +0.8% | +0.7% | -3.7% |
| 2017-11-30 miss | 1.38 | 1.36 | -1.8% | -2.3% | -2.5% | -0.7% | +3.5% |
| 2017-08-31 beat | 1.36 | 1.51 | +10.9% | +3.1% | +4.4% | +1.6% | +6.2% |
| 2017-05-25 beat | 1.25 | 1.34 | +7.6% | +2.2% | +1.1% | +1.2% | +3.7% |
| 2017-03-02 beat | 1.27 | 1.33 | +4.6% | +2.7% | -1.3% | +0.5% | -2.7% |
| 2016-12-01 miss | 1.22 | 1.22 | -0.2% | +1.0% | -0.1% | +4.3% | +5.1% |
| 2016-08-25 beat | 1.21 | 1.27 | +4.7% | +0.2% | -0.1% | +0.8% | -1.7% |
| 2016-05-26 beat | 1.17 | 1.20 | +3.0% | +1.5% | +0.6% | -0.3% | -6.0% |
| 2016-02-25 miss | 1.20 | 1.18 | -1.3% | +1.0% | +2.3% | +4.2% | +10.3% |
| 2015-12-03 beat | 1.13 | 1.14 | +0.8% | +0.5% | -1.3% | -2.5% | -5.9% |
| 2015-08-27 beat | 1.18 | 1.20 | +2.1% | +2.0% | +2.5% | -1.5% | -4.0% |
| 2015-05-28 beat | 1.11 | 1.14 | +2.9% | -0.3% | -0.9% | -2.4% | -1.0% |
| 2015-02-26 beat | 1.12 | 1.12 | +0.2% | +0.8% | +0.2% | -0.5% | -2.9% |
| 2014-12-04 miss | 1.06 | 0.98 | -7.3% | -2.3% | -5.1% | -4.1% | -5.4% |
| 2014-08-28 beat | 1.09 | 1.15 | +5.1% | +0.5% | -0.5% | -0.1% | -6.9% |
| 2014-05-22 beat | 1.02 | 1.09 | +7.2% | +1.6% | +2.7% | +1.6% | +4.4% |
| 2014-02-27 beat | 1.05 | 1.06 | +1.2% | +0.5% | +0.7% | +2.6% | +4.1% |
| 2013-12-05 miss | 0.99 | 0.95 | -4.5% | -1.8% | -1.0% | +0.5% | +2.5% |
| 2013-08-29 beat | 0.77 | 0.83 | +6.5% | +0.8% | +2.1% | +2.6% | +5.4% |
| 2013-05-23 miss | 0.96 | 0.95 | -0.8% | -0.8% | +0.1% | -0.4% | -4.6% |
| 2013-02-28 beat | 0.97 | 1.00 | +3.6% | -0.4% | -0.1% | +0.9% | +0.2% |
| 2012-12-06 beat | 0.91 | 0.92 | +0.6% | -0.3% | -1.6% | +0.5% | +2.3% |
| 2012-08-30 beat | 0.92 | 0.96 | +3.5% | +0.1% | -1.3% | +3.0% | +2.4% |
| 2012-05-24 beat | 0.89 | 0.91 | +2.5% | +1.0% | +0.1% | -3.9% | -1.5% |
| 2012-03-01 beat | 0.88 | 0.93 | +5.6% | +1.4% | +2.0% | -0.9% | +2.2% |
| 2011-12-01 beat | 0.78 | 0.89 | +13.4% | +2.2% | +0.0% | +0.4% | +6.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.