TDG chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.0% | +0.6% | 5.3% | 55% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | +0.3% | 1.9% | 55% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | +0.2% | 1.4% | 60% |
| 5-day | -0.1% | +1.4% | 5.7% | 60% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 10.33 | 10.87 | +5.2% | +5.4% | -0.8% | -2.6% | -9.5% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 9.71 | 9.85 | +1.5% | +6.1% | +3.6% | +0.0% | +3.1% |
| 2026-02-03 beat | 8.04 | 8.23 | +2.4% | -4.0% | -9.3% | +0.8% | -0.5% |
| 2025-11-12 beat | 10.05 | 10.82 | +7.6% | -1.1% | +1.1% | +2.5% | -1.0% |
| 2025-08-05 miss | 9.90 | 9.60 | -3.0% | -9.6% | -11.9% | -0.4% | -9.5% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 8.95 | 9.11 | +1.8% | -3.8% | -5.5% | +1.7% | +3.8% |
| 2025-02-04 beat | 7.74 | 7.83 | +1.1% | -7.3% | -3.3% | +4.1% | +2.8% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 9.28 | 9.83 | +5.9% | -2.6% | -3.8% | -4.3% | -5.3% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 8.51 | 9.00 | +5.8% | +1.0% | +2.3% | +0.5% | +7.4% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | 7.41 | 7.99 | +7.8% | -4.7% | +0.7% | -2.6% | +1.9% |
| 2024-02-08 beat | 6.40 | 7.16 | +11.9% | +0.5% | -1.6% | +2.6% | +2.1% |
| 2023-11-09 beat | 7.63 | 8.03 | +5.2% | +5.6% | +8.7% | +1.4% | +2.0% |
| 2023-08-08 beat | 6.40 | 7.25 | +13.2% | +1.5% | -2.8% | -3.2% | -0.2% |
| 2023-05-09 beat | 5.46 | 5.98 | +9.4% | +1.0% | +4.7% | -0.2% | -0.2% |
| 2023-02-07 beat | 4.29 | 4.58 | +6.7% | +2.5% | +3.1% | +1.8% | -0.1% |
| 2022-11-10 beat | 5.23 | 5.50 | +5.1% | +6.4% | +9.8% | -5.9% | -3.4% |
| 2022-08-09 beat | 4.43 | 4.85 | +9.4% | +0.9% | +0.4% | +5.2% | -4.4% |
| 2022-05-10 beat | 3.69 | 3.86 | +4.5% | +3.4% | +3.8% | -1.7% | +7.4% |
| 2022-02-08 miss | 3.17 | 3.00 | -5.3% | -3.8% | +2.0% | +1.6% | -1.9% |
| 2021-11-16 beat | 3.71 | 4.25 | +14.5% | +0.5% | -1.0% | -3.4% | -10.9% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.