TDG chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.1% | -0.3% | 4.9% | 47% |
| Day 2 | +0.4% | +0.5% | 1.9% | 65% |
| Day 3 | +0.0% | +0.2% | 1.3% | 57% |
| 5-day | +0.8% | +0.7% | 5.6% | 53% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 beat | 10.33 | 10.87 | +5.2% | +5.4% | -0.8% | -2.6% | -9.5% |
| 2026-05-05 beat | 9.71 | 9.85 | +1.5% | +6.1% | +3.6% | +0.0% | +3.1% |
| 2026-02-03 beat | 8.04 | 8.23 | +2.4% | -4.0% | -9.3% | +0.8% | -0.5% |
| 2025-11-12 beat | 10.05 | 10.82 | +7.6% | -1.1% | +1.1% | +2.5% | -1.0% |
| 2025-08-05 miss | 9.90 | 9.60 | -3.0% | -9.6% | -11.9% | -0.4% | -9.5% |
| 2025-05-06 beat | 8.95 | 9.11 | +1.8% | -3.8% | -5.5% | +1.7% | +3.8% |
| 2025-02-04 beat | 7.74 | 7.83 | +1.1% | -7.3% | -3.3% | +4.1% | +2.8% |
| 2024-11-07 beat | 9.28 | 9.83 | +5.9% | -2.6% | -3.8% | -4.3% | -5.3% |
| 2024-08-06 beat | 8.51 | 9.00 | +5.8% | +1.0% | +2.3% | +0.5% | +7.4% |
| 2024-05-07 beat | 7.41 | 7.99 | +7.8% | -4.7% | +0.7% | -2.6% | +1.9% |
| 2024-02-08 beat | 6.40 | 7.16 | +11.9% | +0.5% | -1.6% | +2.6% | +2.1% |
| 2023-11-09 beat | 7.63 | 8.03 | +5.2% | +5.6% | +8.7% | +1.4% | +2.0% |
| 2023-08-08 beat | 6.40 | 7.25 | +13.2% | +1.5% | -2.8% | -3.2% | -0.2% |
| 2023-05-09 beat | 5.46 | 5.98 | +9.4% | +1.0% | +4.7% | -0.2% | -0.2% |
| 2023-02-07 beat | 4.29 | 4.58 | +6.7% | +2.5% | +3.1% | +1.8% | -0.1% |
| 2022-11-10 beat | 5.23 | 5.50 | +5.1% | +6.4% | +9.8% | -5.9% | -3.4% |
| 2022-08-09 beat | 4.43 | 4.85 | +9.4% | +0.9% | +0.4% | +5.2% | -4.4% |
| 2022-05-10 beat | 3.69 | 3.86 | +4.5% | +3.4% | +3.8% | -1.7% | +7.4% |
| 2022-02-08 miss | 3.17 | 3.00 | -5.3% | -3.8% | +2.0% | +1.6% | -1.9% |
| 2021-11-16 beat | 3.71 | 4.25 | +14.5% | +0.5% | -1.0% | -3.4% | -10.9% |
| 2021-08-10 beat | 2.99 | 3.33 | +11.5% | +0.5% | -1.2% | -2.8% | -3.7% |
| 2021-05-11 beat | 2.54 | 2.58 | +1.6% | -0.3% | -0.2% | -1.6% | +10.0% |
| 2021-02-09 miss | 2.01 | 1.97 | -2.2% | -0.5% | -2.8% | -0.5% | +6.9% |
| 2020-11-12 beat | 1.95 | 2.89 | +47.9% | -2.8% | -0.8% | +6.1% | +7.1% |
| 2020-08-04 beat | 0.90 | 1.54 | +71.4% | -0.1% | +2.9% | +9.2% | +12.6% |
| 2020-05-05 beat | 4.43 | 5.10 | +15.2% | +2.6% | -5.2% | +1.5% | +48.4% |
| 2020-02-04 beat | 4.59 | 4.93 | +7.4% | +2.0% | -1.7% | +1.4% | -16.4% |
| 2019-11-19 beat | 5.28 | 5.62 | +6.5% | -3.3% | +0.1% | +0.9% | +1.2% |
| 2019-08-06 beat | 4.32 | 4.95 | +14.5% | +9.7% | +13.7% | +4.5% | +1.6% |
| 2019-05-07 beat | 3.95 | 4.21 | +6.5% | -1.0% | -1.3% | -0.3% | -0.1% |
| 2019-02-05 beat | 3.43 | 3.85 | +12.2% | +6.5% | +3.8% | +3.1% | +2.3% |
| 2018-11-06 beat | 4.29 | 4.44 | +3.5% | +0.2% | +2.3% | -2.7% | -3.3% |
| 2018-08-07 miss | 4.07 | 4.01 | -1.4% | -4.0% | -3.3% | +0.0% | -0.8% |
| 2018-05-01 beat | 3.67 | 3.79 | +3.4% | +0.4% | -1.9% | +5.6% | +6.3% |
| 2018-02-06 miss | 2.80 | 2.62 | -6.3% | -6.7% | -2.1% | -1.7% | -1.6% |
| 2017-11-09 beat | 3.43 | 3.48 | +1.5% | -7.3% | -6.8% | +1.1% | +3.3% |
| 2017-08-08 beat | 3.17 | 3.30 | +4.2% | +0.2% | +0.5% | -2.4% | -11.2% |
| 2017-05-09 beat | 3.01 | 3.02 | +0.2% | -3.7% | -4.9% | +2.7% | +12.7% |
| 2017-02-07 beat | 2.49 | 2.57 | +3.4% | +3.5% | +6.5% | +1.8% | -1.7% |
| 2016-11-14 beat | 3.20 | 3.29 | +2.8% | +0.4% | -7.1% | -0.6% | -0.9% |
| 2016-08-09 beat | 2.81 | 3.09 | +10.0% | +0.4% | +2.9% | -1.2% | +0.5% |
| 2016-05-10 beat | 2.61 | 2.86 | +9.5% | +4.8% | +10.6% | -0.2% | +6.7% |
| 2016-02-09 miss | 2.32 | 2.27 | -2.1% | -8.2% | -12.7% | +10.8% | +16.6% |
| 2015-11-12 beat | 2.56 | 2.83 | +10.4% | +3.2% | +4.9% | +2.8% | -5.0% |
| 2015-08-04 miss | 2.27 | 2.26 | -0.2% | -5.7% | -0.4% | +4.1% | +0.6% |
| 2015-05-05 beat | 2.01 | 2.11 | +5.0% | -0.8% | -2.4% | +4.0% | +4.8% |
| 2015-01-27 miss | 1.86 | 1.80 | -3.4% | -3.0% | -2.4% | +2.0% | +8.8% |
| 2014-11-13 beat | 2.02 | 2.21 | +9.1% | +1.4% | +2.9% | +0.2% | +0.6% |
| 2014-08-05 beat | 1.98 | 2.02 | +2.0% | -0.5% | +3.0% | -0.8% | +7.3% |
| 2014-05-06 miss | 1.91 | 1.87 | -2.3% | -1.8% | -2.5% | +2.8% | +6.9% |
| 2014-02-04 beat | 1.56 | 1.66 | +6.4% | +5.1% | +4.2% | +0.8% | +6.2% |
| 2013-11-14 beat | 1.71 | 1.75 | +2.6% | +0.3% | -2.2% | -0.5% | +7.1% |
| 2013-08-06 beat | 1.83 | 1.89 | +3.2% | -1.5% | -2.0% | -3.8% | -4.9% |
| 2013-05-07 beat | 1.74 | 1.74 | +0.1% | +0.5% | -0.1% | +0.0% | +0.4% |
| 2013-02-04 beat | 1.49 | 1.51 | +1.5% | -0.3% | +1.0% | +5.4% | +4.2% |
| 2012-11-15 miss | 1.77 | 1.72 | -2.8% | -6.8% | -4.4% | +5.4% | +2.0% |
| 2012-08-07 beat | 1.71 | 1.88 | +10.0% | +6.1% | +2.0% | +1.9% | +11.9% |
| 2012-05-08 beat | 1.46 | 1.65 | +12.9% | +4.1% | +0.8% | -3.8% | -1.8% |
| 2012-02-07 beat | 1.26 | 1.42 | +12.3% | +5.0% | +6.0% | +2.3% | +0.1% |
| 2011-11-17 beat | 1.24 | 1.45 | +16.5% | +0.5% | -3.7% | -2.6% | +2.1% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.