TDY chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.4% | -1.9% | 5.4% | 45% |
| Day 2 | +0.6% | +0.5% | 1.6% | 60% |
| Day 3 | +0.1% | -0.1% | 1.8% | 45% |
| 5-day | -0.2% | -0.6% | 5.6% | 45% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-22 beat | 5.79 | 6.28 | +8.4% | +0.9% | +0.5% | -2.9% | -2.5% |
| 2026-04-22 beat | 5.47 | 5.80 | +6.0% | +3.5% | +2.2% | -4.0% | -7.5% |
| 2026-01-21 beat | 5.83 | 6.30 | +8.1% | +7.3% | +9.8% | -0.2% | +7.5% |
| 2025-10-22 beat | 5.47 | 5.57 | +1.8% | -2.4% | -5.2% | -5.2% | -10.9% |
| 2025-07-23 beat | 5.05 | 5.20 | +3.0% | +1.9% | -1.7% | +0.7% | -0.8% |
| 2025-04-23 beat | 4.92 | 4.95 | +0.6% | -3.1% | -2.7% | +3.9% | +8.8% |
| 2025-01-22 beat | 5.23 | 5.52 | +5.6% | +2.7% | +6.5% | -0.6% | -4.0% |
| 2024-10-23 beat | 4.97 | 5.10 | +2.6% | +0.5% | +6.0% | -1.8% | +2.2% |
| 2024-07-24 beat | 4.50 | 4.58 | +1.9% | +4.2% | +3.7% | +1.2% | +0.2% |
| 2024-04-24 miss | 4.63 | 4.55 | -1.7% | -9.1% | -10.9% | +5.7% | +10.6% |
| 2024-01-24 beat | 5.04 | 5.44 | +7.9% | +1.3% | -5.4% | +0.1% | +3.6% |
| 2023-10-25 beat | 4.76 | 5.05 | +6.0% | -0.7% | -3.3% | -1.2% | +7.0% |
| 2023-07-26 beat | 4.64 | 4.67 | +0.6% | +0.5% | -6.5% | -1.4% | +4.7% |
| 2023-04-26 beat | 4.43 | 4.53 | +2.2% | -1.8% | -2.7% | +1.5% | -2.4% |
| 2023-01-25 beat | 4.54 | 4.94 | +8.8% | +1.9% | +4.7% | +0.0% | +0.0% |
| 2022-10-26 beat | 4.30 | 4.54 | +5.7% | +1.3% | +4.5% | +3.7% | +11.5% |
| 2022-07-27 beat | 4.38 | 4.43 | +1.1% | -5.2% | -7.0% | +7.3% | +5.7% |
| 2022-04-27 beat | 4.08 | 4.27 | +4.5% | -1.2% | -2.5% | -5.1% | -13.9% |
| 2022-01-27 beat | 4.22 | 4.56 | +8.2% | +4.7% | -2.1% | +6.4% | +8.0% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 3.69 | 4.34 | +17.8% | +4.7% | +3.4% | -1.6% | -5.8% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.