TEX chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.4% | -1.8% | 8.7% | 30% |
| Day 2 | -2.5% | -3.1% | 2.9% | 30% |
| Day 3 | -0.3% | -0.2% | 3.8% | 50% |
| 5-day | -0.7% | -0.7% | 11.6% | 50% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 beat | 1.23 | 1.37 | +11.2% | +1.2% | -3.6% | +5.0% | +2.4% |
| 2026-05-01 beat | 0.78 | 0.98 | +26.4% | -5.1% | -0.5% | +2.8% | -0.9% |
| 2026-02-11 beat | 1.11 | 1.12 | +1.4% | +7.6% | +16.6% | -0.2% | -14.0% |
| 2025-10-30 beat | 1.21 | 1.50 | +24.5% | -6.6% | -15.7% | -2.0% | -3.5% |
| 2025-07-31 beat | 1.40 | 1.49 | +6.5% | +2.5% | +2.1% | -4.7% | -1.8% |
| 2025-05-02 beat | 0.57 | 0.83 | +44.6% | +4.7% | +9.4% | +3.4% | +14.6% |
| 2025-02-06 beat | 0.75 | 0.77 | +2.6% | -2.0% | -3.1% | -3.4% | -12.6% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 1.26 | 1.46 | +15.7% | -3.7% | -5.0% | +13.7% | +6.3% |
| 2024-07-30 beat | 2.07 | 2.16 | +4.2% | -4.6% | -3.7% | -15.7% | -11.0% |
| 2024-04-25 beat | 1.37 | 1.60 | +16.7% | +2.6% | -0.5% | -2.1% | +0.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.