TFC chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | -0.1% | -0.1% | 2.8% | 48% |
| Day 2 | -0.0% | +0.2% | 1.7% | 55% |
| Day 3 | -0.1% | +0.1% | 1.6% | 50% |
| 5-day | +0.9% | +1.8% | 4.4% | 65% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 beat | 1.08 | 1.23 | +13.8% | -0.7% | -1.4% | -1.4% | +0.1% |
| 2026-04-17 beat | 1.00 | 1.09 | +9.4% | -1.4% | +2.3% | +0.3% | -7.0% |
| 2026-01-21 beat | 1.09 | 1.12 | +2.7% | -2.7% | +1.8% | +0.6% | +4.6% |
| 2025-10-17 beat | 0.99 | 1.04 | +5.0% | +2.2% | +3.7% | +3.7% | +3.1% |
| 2025-07-18 miss | 0.92 | 0.90 | -2.2% | +0.6% | -1.7% | +3.2% | +0.2% |
| 2025-04-17 beat | 0.86 | 0.89 | +3.0% | -2.5% | -0.3% | +4.9% | +15.3% |
| 2025-01-17 beat | 0.88 | 0.91 | +3.8% | +4.5% | +5.9% | -0.1% | -0.3% |
| 2024-10-17 beat | 0.90 | 0.97 | +7.5% | -0.9% | -3.5% | +1.1% | +8.4% |
| 2024-07-22 beat | 0.83 | 0.91 | +9.2% | +1.3% | +3.2% | +1.6% | -3.5% |
| 2024-04-22 beat | 0.80 | 0.90 | +11.8% | -2.6% | +3.4% | +0.7% | +3.9% |
| 2024-01-18 miss | 0.90 | 0.81 | -9.5% | +1.2% | +0.6% | +4.3% | +0.3% |
| 2023-10-19 beat | 0.83 | 0.84 | +1.7% | +1.4% | -2.4% | +1.6% | +13.9% |
| 2023-07-20 miss | 1.03 | 0.92 | -10.4% | -4.7% | -7.1% | -3.2% | -12.9% |
| 2023-04-20 miss | 1.15 | 1.09 | -4.9% | -2.9% | -3.8% | -6.3% | -11.3% |
| 2023-01-19 beat | 1.28 | 1.30 | +1.7% | +0.8% | +4.3% | +2.4% | +1.6% |
| 2022-10-18 beat | 1.23 | 1.24 | +1.2% | -3.8% | -2.4% | +1.1% | +5.0% |
| 2022-07-19 beat | 1.15 | 1.20 | +4.0% | +3.5% | +2.6% | +0.3% | +6.0% |
| 2022-04-19 beat | 1.09 | 1.23 | +13.3% | -1.3% | -1.2% | -2.8% | -10.9% |
| 2022-01-18 beat | 1.26 | 1.38 | +9.9% | -0.2% | -0.4% | -6.2% | -3.7% |
| 2021-10-15 beat | 1.20 | 1.42 | +18.1% | +1.0% | +1.2% | +5.1% | +3.2% |
| 2021-07-15 beat | 1.18 | 1.55 | +31.6% | -0.8% | +2.6% | -2.7% | +2.7% |
| 2021-04-15 beat | 1.10 | 1.18 | +7.5% | -1.2% | -4.1% | -2.4% | +7.7% |
| 2021-01-21 beat | 0.96 | 1.18 | +22.9% | -0.6% | -1.1% | -3.8% | +15.7% |
| 2020-10-15 beat | 0.88 | 0.97 | +10.4% | +1.8% | -0.3% | +3.2% | +12.1% |
| 2020-07-16 beat | 0.77 | 0.82 | +6.7% | +0.1% | +0.8% | +1.8% | +6.1% |
| 2020-04-20 beat | 0.84 | 0.87 | +3.4% | +0.3% | +2.2% | +9.8% | -5.2% |
| 2020-01-30 beat | 1.01 | 1.12 | +10.9% | -1.9% | -3.2% | +3.9% | -6.4% |
| 2019-10-17 beat | 1.03 | 1.07 | +3.6% | +0.0% | -1.0% | +1.2% | +4.1% |
| 2019-07-18 beat | 1.08 | 1.12 | +3.8% | +0.2% | +2.8% | +0.4% | -8.8% |
| 2019-04-18 beat | 1.03 | 1.05 | +2.0% | +0.0% | -1.0% | +2.8% | -2.0% |
| 2019-01-17 miss | 1.04 | 0.97 | -6.9% | -1.7% | +1.6% | +2.3% | +5.9% |
| 2018-10-18 beat | 1.00 | 1.01 | +1.2% | +1.9% | +1.2% | -2.6% | +6.5% |
| 2018-07-19 miss | 1.01 | 0.99 | -1.9% | -4.8% | -4.6% | +1.1% | +3.8% |
| 2018-04-19 beat | 0.92 | 0.94 | +1.8% | +1.2% | +3.4% | +1.8% | +4.9% |
| 2018-01-18 beat | 0.80 | 0.84 | +5.6% | +1.9% | +1.6% | +1.0% | +1.5% |
| 2017-10-19 miss | 0.78 | 0.78 | -0.0% | -4.1% | +0.4% | +4.0% | +0.2% |
| 2017-07-20 beat | 0.76 | 0.78 | +2.1% | +1.1% | +3.4% | +1.3% | -0.3% |
| 2017-04-20 beat | 0.72 | 0.74 | +2.2% | +1.0% | +2.4% | -0.2% | -3.3% |
| 2017-01-19 miss | 0.74 | 0.73 | -1.3% | -0.3% | -2.0% | +4.3% | +5.9% |
| 2016-10-19 beat | 0.71 | 0.76 | +6.6% | +1.1% | +2.3% | +0.7% | +13.5% |
| 2016-07-21 beat | 0.68 | 0.71 | +4.2% | +1.2% | +0.4% | +1.4% | +3.3% |
| 2016-04-21 beat | 0.65 | 0.69 | +6.6% | +0.1% | -0.2% | +1.3% | -0.2% |
| 2016-01-21 miss | 0.72 | 0.68 | -6.0% | -0.6% | -3.3% | +0.4% | +3.7% |
| 2015-10-15 beat | 0.69 | 0.70 | +1.9% | +1.3% | +3.1% | +0.2% | +1.3% |
| 2015-07-16 miss | 0.70 | 0.69 | -1.1% | +0.0% | -0.1% | -0.2% | -3.0% |
| 2015-04-23 miss | 0.70 | 0.68 | -2.2% | -1.0% | -2.6% | +1.1% | +4.1% |
| 2015-01-22 beat | 0.73 | 0.76 | +4.5% | +1.6% | +3.6% | -3.4% | +2.9% |
| 2014-10-16 miss | 0.72 | 0.71 | -1.3% | -2.1% | -1.3% | +2.1% | +5.5% |
| 2014-07-21 miss | 0.75 | 0.70 | -6.1% | -4.2% | -4.0% | +0.7% | -1.6% |
| 2014-04-17 miss | 0.70 | 0.69 | -1.3% | -0.3% | -3.6% | -1.6% | -1.8% |
| 2014-01-16 beat | 0.72 | 0.73 | +2.1% | -1.0% | -0.1% | -1.2% | -3.0% |
| 2013-10-17 miss | 0.71 | 0.70 | -1.1% | -1.3% | -0.6% | +1.9% | -0.6% |
| 2013-07-18 beat | 0.74 | 0.79 | +7.4% | -0.9% | +0.7% | +1.6% | +1.3% |
| 2013-04-18 beat | 0.68 | 0.69 | +2.1% | -0.6% | -2.5% | +4.8% | +11.2% |
| 2013-01-17 beat | 0.71 | 0.72 | +2.1% | +1.0% | +1.9% | -0.1% | -1.7% |
| 2012-10-18 miss | 0.72 | 0.70 | -2.4% | -4.4% | -7.1% | -3.4% | -5.1% |
| 2012-07-19 beat | 0.70 | 0.72 | +3.6% | +1.2% | +1.2% | +0.2% | -0.1% |
| 2012-04-19 beat | 0.58 | 0.62 | +6.6% | +0.3% | -0.6% | +4.5% | -4.6% |
| 2012-01-19 beat | 0.53 | 0.55 | +4.7% | +0.7% | -1.2% | -0.3% | +11.8% |
| 2011-10-20 beat | 0.50 | 0.52 | +4.0% | +0.9% | +1.0% | +6.7% | +0.7% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.