THG chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.9% | +0.5% | 2.6% | 60% |
| Day 2 | +0.1% | -0.3% | 1.8% | 43% |
| Day 3 | -0.0% | +0.3% | 1.5% | 57% |
| 5-day | +0.7% | +1.9% | 3.6% | 63% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-28 beat | 3.76 | 5.31 | +41.3% | +1.1% | +3.7% | -1.4% | -2.0% |
| 2026-04-29 beat | 4.22 | 5.25 | +24.5% | +8.0% | +5.7% | -0.7% | -1.4% |
| 2026-02-03 beat | 5.03 | 5.79 | +15.1% | +1.8% | +0.6% | -1.4% | +1.5% |
| 2025-10-29 beat | 4.22 | 5.09 | +20.7% | +1.0% | +1.1% | +3.8% | +9.2% |
| 2025-07-30 beat | 3.11 | 4.35 | +40.1% | +1.6% | +3.9% | -1.2% | +1.1% |
| 2025-04-30 beat | 3.51 | 3.87 | +10.1% | -2.8% | -0.3% | +0.4% | +7.5% |
| 2025-02-04 beat | 3.39 | 5.32 | +57.0% | +4.0% | +4.8% | -0.1% | +3.8% |
| 2024-10-30 beat | 2.52 | 3.05 | +21.1% | +2.2% | -2.0% | +5.4% | +9.6% |
| 2024-07-31 | 1.88 | 1.88 | — | +0.2% | -1.8% | -2.7% | +8.9% |
| 2024-05-01 beat | 2.70 | 3.08 | +14.0% | +2.9% | -0.4% | +4.0% | -0.8% |
| 2024-01-31 beat | 2.57 | 3.13 | +21.6% | +2.1% | -0.5% | -0.3% | -2.4% |
| 2023-10-18 miss | 1.93 | 0.19 | -90.2% | -3.5% | -4.0% | +0.2% | +1.4% |
| 2023-08-02 | -1.91 | -1.91 | — | -1.0% | -2.1% | -0.7% | -2.7% |
| 2023-05-02 miss | 0.40 | 0.13 | -67.6% | +1.0% | +3.6% | -0.9% | -4.9% |
| 2023-02-01 miss | -1.05 | -1.05 | -0.2% | +0.0% | +3.7% | +2.7% | -1.3% |
| 2022-11-01 beat | 0.94 | 0.99 | +5.8% | -0.8% | -1.2% | -3.8% | +3.1% |
| 2022-08-02 beat | 2.15 | 2.32 | +8.1% | -2.9% | -2.8% | +2.1% | +1.2% |
| 2022-05-03 beat | 3.07 | 3.26 | +6.2% | +1.1% | +3.1% | -7.0% | -4.1% |
| 2022-02-02 beat | 2.55 | 3.38 | +32.8% | +1.4% | +4.9% | -0.8% | -1.2% |
| 2021-10-27 beat | 0.62 | 0.85 | +37.8% | +1.4% | -1.5% | -1.6% | -0.5% |
| 2021-07-27 beat | 2.31 | 2.85 | +23.4% | +4.1% | +1.2% | +0.8% | +4.8% |
| 2021-04-29 beat | 0.78 | 1.66 | +112.8% | -0.1% | +0.6% | +2.4% | +0.9% |
| 2021-02-03 beat | 2.37 | 3.02 | +27.6% | +0.8% | +0.1% | +1.7% | +10.4% |
| 2020-10-27 beat | 2.22 | 2.46 | +10.7% | -1.2% | -1.9% | +2.6% | +22.1% |
| 2020-07-28 beat | 1.08 | 1.63 | +51.6% | -0.3% | +2.1% | +2.1% | +3.0% |
| 2020-04-28 beat | 2.03 | 2.23 | +9.7% | +4.5% | +3.7% | -11.8% | -3.9% |
| 2020-02-04 beat | 1.98 | 2.01 | +1.3% | +3.0% | -0.7% | -1.7% | -15.2% |
| 2019-10-30 beat | 2.11 | 2.31 | +9.6% | +0.6% | +1.9% | +1.2% | +2.2% |
| 2019-07-31 beat | 1.76 | 1.88 | +7.0% | +0.1% | +0.1% | +2.4% | +2.5% |
| 2019-05-01 beat | 1.74 | 1.96 | +12.9% | +1.4% | +0.4% | +0.7% | +2.3% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.