THO chart · All upcoming earnings
| Move | Mean | Median | Std dev | Hit rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Day 1 | +0.3% | +0.3% | 8.3% | 50% |
| Day 2 | +0.2% | +0.1% | 3.3% | 52% |
| Day 3 | -0.5% | -0.7% | 2.4% | 38% |
| 5-day | -0.3% | -0.1% | 11.0% | 48% |
Day 1 = the close-to-close move on the first session to trade the news — hover for the EPS surprise.
| Report | Est | Actual | Surprise | Gap | 1-day | +5d | +1mo |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-03 miss | 1.93 | 1.86 | -3.7% | -9.3% | +2.9% | -6.2% | -5.1% |
| 2026-03-03 beat | 0.04 | 0.34 | +860.2% | -3.0% | -5.6% | -6.3% | -13.8% |
| 2025-12-03 beat | -0.07 | 0.41 | +707.4% | +2.5% | -9.5% | +7.4% | +5.3% |
| 2025-09-24 beat | 1.23 | 2.36 | +91.1% | +6.4% | +6.1% | -4.1% | +0.5% |
| 2025-06-04 beat | 1.80 | 2.53 | +40.4% | +8.8% | +4.2% | +2.2% | +6.0% |
| 2025-03-05 miss | 0.08 | -0.01 | -113.1% | -14.2% | -14.5% | -3.6% | -12.7% |
| 2024-12-04 miss | 0.72 | -0.03 | -104.2% | -3.2% | -3.2% | +1.0% | -8.6% |
| 2024-09-24 beat | 1.31 | 1.68 | +28.7% | +3.0% | +6.1% | +0.7% | -4.8% |
| 2024-06-05 beat | 1.83 | 2.13 | +16.4% | -2.6% | +0.7% | +0.7% | -4.6% |
| 2024-03-06 miss | 0.67 | 0.13 | -80.6% | -16.3% | -15.4% | -4.0% | +5.1% |
| 2023-12-06 beat | 0.96 | 0.99 | +2.8% | +1.2% | +1.4% | +5.4% | +8.8% |
| 2023-09-25 beat | 0.96 | 1.68 | +75.4% | -5.8% | -2.1% | +0.0% | -5.6% |
| 2023-06-06 beat | 1.06 | 2.24 | +111.0% | +11.2% | +17.7% | +3.2% | +8.9% |
| 2023-03-07 miss | 1.06 | 0.50 | -53.0% | -5.2% | -3.8% | -10.2% | -14.0% |
| 2022-12-07 beat | 1.82 | 2.53 | +38.7% | +2.4% | -4.8% | +4.6% | +12.4% |
| 2022-09-28 beat | 3.89 | 5.15 | +32.3% | +1.7% | +4.1% | -3.1% | +6.8% |
| 2022-06-08 beat | 4.85 | 6.32 | +30.4% | +1.6% | +1.0% | -3.7% | +4.2% |
| 2022-03-09 beat | 3.34 | 4.79 | +43.5% | +6.3% | +3.1% | -3.8% | -9.0% |
| 2021-12-08 beat | 3.19 | 4.34 | +36.0% | +1.4% | -1.9% | -2.6% | +2.0% |
| 2021-09-28 beat | 2.88 | 4.12 | +43.0% | +3.4% | +7.9% | +1.2% | -16.4% |
| 2021-06-08 beat | 2.33 | 3.29 | +41.0% | +0.8% | -1.3% | -4.6% | -6.7% |
| 2021-03-09 beat | 1.58 | 2.38 | +50.7% | +1.0% | +1.8% | +11.8% | +3.6% |
| 2020-12-08 beat | 1.57 | 2.05 | +30.3% | -1.7% | -2.8% | +1.7% | +0.6% |
| 2020-09-28 beat | 1.40 | 2.14 | +52.9% | +4.2% | +1.5% | +9.1% | -7.8% |
| 2020-06-08 beat | -0.10 | 0.43 | +513.5% | +9.5% | +11.1% | +2.3% | -8.7% |
| 2020-03-09 miss | 0.71 | 0.67 | -5.2% | -8.3% | -26.8% | -21.9% | -14.9% |
| 2019-12-09 miss | 1.24 | 0.92 | -26.0% | -2.0% | -5.1% | +8.3% | +7.6% |
| 2019-09-30 beat | 1.46 | 1.70 | +16.5% | +10.3% | +15.8% | -4.3% | +17.8% |
| 2019-06-10 miss | 1.66 | 1.65 | -0.7% | +4.3% | +4.2% | -4.2% | -0.8% |
| 2019-03-06 miss | 1.02 | 0.65 | -36.5% | -6.9% | -4.4% | +4.6% | +3.1% |
| 2018-12-06 miss | 1.67 | 1.28 | -23.6% | -10.9% | -6.2% | -10.6% | -4.9% |
| 2018-09-20 miss | 2.03 | 1.67 | -17.8% | -8.0% | -13.0% | -6.8% | -18.3% |
| 2018-06-06 miss | 2.60 | 2.53 | -2.5% | -5.8% | +2.4% | -2.3% | +0.4% |
| 2018-03-07 miss | 1.81 | 1.51 | -16.7% | +3.4% | -1.7% | +0.3% | -7.0% |
| 2017-11-27 beat | 1.84 | 2.43 | +31.9% | +11.8% | +13.3% | -2.9% | -0.9% |
| 2017-09-27 beat | 1.95 | 2.26 | +15.7% | +3.2% | +2.6% | +3.3% | +9.7% |
| 2017-06-05 beat | 1.87 | 2.11 | +12.9% | +12.1% | +10.1% | +1.6% | -1.1% |
| 2017-03-06 beat | 1.22 | 1.23 | +1.2% | -4.0% | -9.9% | -7.0% | -12.7% |
| 2016-11-28 beat | 1.23 | 1.49 | +21.2% | +8.5% | +12.6% | +2.6% | -1.1% |
| 2016-09-26 beat | 1.32 | 1.57 | +19.3% | +3.8% | +3.5% | +0.1% | -5.9% |
| 2016-06-06 beat | 1.43 | 1.51 | +5.5% | +3.0% | +5.8% | -5.5% | +2.0% |
| 2016-03-07 beat | 0.62 | 0.86 | +38.3% | +7.4% | +6.3% | +1.0% | +1.4% |
| 2015-11-30 beat | 0.83 | 0.97 | +17.6% | +6.1% | +4.4% | -4.7% | -7.1% |
| 2015-09-21 miss | 1.31 | 1.31 | -0.3% | -7.8% | -5.9% | +0.0% | +4.4% |
| 2015-06-04 miss | 1.20 | 1.19 | -0.9% | -4.3% | -6.3% | +1.8% | -2.0% |
| 2015-03-05 beat | 0.42 | 0.57 | +34.4% | +2.7% | +0.0% | +0.5% | +2.0% |
| 2014-12-01 miss | 0.81 | 0.73 | -9.9% | -1.7% | -4.0% | -3.5% | -0.1% |
| 2014-09-25 beat | 1.21 | 1.25 | +3.2% | +2.1% | +0.0% | -1.4% | -3.3% |
| 2014-06-05 miss | 1.08 | 1.03 | -4.7% | -3.0% | -4.9% | -2.6% | -4.1% |
| 2014-03-06 miss | 0.34 | 0.32 | -6.4% | +1.3% | +1.4% | -2.5% | +3.9% |
| 2013-12-02 miss | 0.70 | 0.69 | -1.9% | -4.1% | -1.2% | +2.3% | +2.6% |
| 2013-09-26 beat | 0.95 | 1.06 | +11.6% | +1.0% | +3.7% | -1.0% | +1.2% |
| 2013-06-06 beat | 0.88 | 0.97 | +9.6% | +4.9% | +11.9% | +3.6% | +10.9% |
| 2013-03-07 miss | 0.38 | 0.37 | -2.6% | -3.8% | -1.8% | +2.6% | -4.8% |
| 2012-11-26 miss | 0.63 | 0.60 | -5.0% | -7.8% | -11.5% | -5.2% | -2.4% |
| 2012-09-26 beat | 0.76 | 0.84 | +9.9% | +8.3% | +5.8% | +1.5% | +4.0% |
| 2012-06-07 miss | 0.79 | 0.78 | -0.8% | -3.2% | -2.4% | -5.1% | -6.9% |
| 2012-03-08 beat | 0.24 | 0.25 | +4.9% | -2.3% | -0.6% | +3.9% | -3.3% |
| 2011-11-28 beat | 0.40 | 0.41 | +1.2% | -6.5% | -4.9% | +3.2% | +17.9% |
| 2011-09-28 beat | 0.62 | 0.66 | +6.6% | +9.2% | +21.1% | +3.3% | +17.4% |
“1-day” is the close-to-close move over the session that first traded on the news (the next session for after-close reports). “+5d / +1mo” are the further drift from that close.
Earnings dates & estimates from Yahoo Finance (refreshed 2026-09-13); price reactions from end-of-day data. History, not a forecast. Not investment advice.